Current forecast model consensus centers on a daily maximum near 25–26°C for Mexico City on August 21, driven by the city's 2,240-meter elevation, which moderates subtropical conditions, combined with typical mid-August afternoon convective showers and cloud cover that limit surface heating. Recent guidance from multiple models highlights partly cloudy skies, light winds, and scattered convection as key factors capping peaks around these levels, consistent with historical August averages near 23–24°C. Trader-implied probabilities reflect this scientific outlook, with 25°C and 26°C as leading outcomes while assigning minimal odds to extremes given stable atmospheric patterns and no significant shifts in steering or moisture expected before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於墨西哥城8月21日的最高溫度?
25°C 69%
26°C 18%
24°C 15%
27°C 3%
$15,806 交易量
$15,806 交易量
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
15%
25°C
69%
26°C
18%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C或以上
<1%
25°C 69%
26°C 18%
24°C 15%
27°C 3%
$15,806 交易量
$15,806 交易量
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
15%
25°C
69%
26°C
18%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C或以上
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 19, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast model consensus centers on a daily maximum near 25–26°C for Mexico City on August 21, driven by the city's 2,240-meter elevation, which moderates subtropical conditions, combined with typical mid-August afternoon convective showers and cloud cover that limit surface heating. Recent guidance from multiple models highlights partly cloudy skies, light winds, and scattered convection as key factors capping peaks around these levels, consistent with historical August averages near 23–24°C. Trader-implied probabilities reflect this scientific outlook, with 25°C and 26°C as leading outcomes while assigning minimal odds to extremes given stable atmospheric patterns and no significant shifts in steering or moisture expected before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions