Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Istanbul's maximum temperature on August 24 will likely fall in the 27–29°C range, driven by persistent high-pressure conditions, light northerly flow, and moderating influences from the Sea of Marmara that limit daytime heating. Recent model runs show minor spreads in predicted 850 hPa temperatures and boundary-layer moisture, with sea breezes and urban heat island effects creating the key variables that differentiate exact daily maxima at official stations. Historical August climatology places average highs near 28–30°C, but the tight clustering of trader-implied odds around 27–28°C reflects ongoing uncertainty in mesoscale details ahead of final observational data. Updated short-range guidance from regional meteorological services will provide the next resolution-critical inputs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日伊斯坦布爾的最高溫度？
8月24日伊斯坦布爾的最高溫度？
28°C 42%
27°C 32%
29°C 23%
26°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
23°C或以下
4%
24°C
4%
25°C
3%
26°C
6%
27°C
32%
28°C
42%
29°C
23%
30°C
3%
31°C
3%
32°C
4%
33°C或以上
4%
28°C 42%
27°C 32%
29°C 23%
26°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
23°C或以下
$5 交易量
4%
24°C
$5 交易量
4%
25°C
$0 交易量
3%
26°C
$54 交易量
6%
27°C
$150 交易量
32%
28°C
$23 交易量
42%
29°C
$0 交易量
23%
30°C
$0 交易量
3%
31°C
$1 交易量
3%
32°C
$5 交易量
4%
33°C或以上
$5 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Istanbul's maximum temperature on August 24 will likely fall in the 27–29°C range, driven by persistent high-pressure conditions, light northerly flow, and moderating influences from the Sea of Marmara that limit daytime heating. Recent model runs show minor spreads in predicted 850 hPa temperatures and boundary-layer moisture, with sea breezes and urban heat island effects creating the key variables that differentiate exact daily maxima at official stations. Historical August climatology places average highs near 28–30°C, but the tight clustering of trader-implied odds around 27–28°C reflects ongoing uncertainty in mesoscale details ahead of final observational data. Updated short-range guidance from regional meteorological services will provide the next resolution-critical inputs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ET
交易量
$248結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Istanbul's maximum temperature on August 24 will likely fall in the 27–29°C range, driven by persistent high-pressure conditions, light northerly flow, and moderating influences from the Sea of Marmara that limit daytime heating. Recent model runs show minor spreads in predicted 850 hPa temperatures and boundary-layer moisture, with sea breezes and urban heat island effects creating the key variables that differentiate exact daily maxima at official stations. Historical August climatology places average highs near 28–30°C, but the tight clustering of trader-implied odds around 27–28°C reflects ongoing uncertainty in mesoscale details ahead of final observational data. Updated short-range guidance from regional meteorological services will provide the next resolution-critical inputs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$248結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Istanbul's maximum temperature on August 24 will likely fall in the 27–29°C range, driven by persistent high-pressure conditions, light northerly flow, and moderating influences from the Sea of Marmara that limit daytime heating. Recent model runs show minor spreads in predicted 850 hPa temperatures and boundary-layer moisture, with sea breezes and urban heat island effects creating the key variables that differentiate exact daily maxima at official stations. Historical August climatology places average highs near 28–30°C, but the tight clustering of trader-implied odds around 27–28°C reflects ongoing uncertainty in mesoscale details ahead of final observational data. Updated short-range guidance from regional meteorological services will provide the next resolution-critical inputs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions