Recent weather model consensus from agencies including Taiwan's Central Weather Administration points to a minimum temperature of 26°C in Taipei on August 30, aligning with the market's 94% implied probability for that outcome. This reflects typical late-summer subtropical conditions, with high humidity and minimal frontal activity keeping overnight lows near the long-term August average of 25–27°C. Ensemble forecasts show tight agreement around this threshold, with only modest variability from diurnal cooling patterns. A stronger-than-expected monsoon surge or localized urban heat island effect could push the reading lower, though current observations indicate low likelihood of such shifts before midnight resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月30日臺北最低氣溫?
26°C 95%
25°C 23%
24°C 5%
23°C 2%
$1,858 交易量
$1,858 交易量
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
5%
25°C
23%
26°C
95%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 95%
25°C 23%
24°C 5%
23°C 2%
$1,858 交易量
$1,858 交易量
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
5%
25°C
23%
26°C
95%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent weather model consensus from agencies including Taiwan's Central Weather Administration points to a minimum temperature of 26°C in Taipei on August 30, aligning with the market's 94% implied probability for that outcome. This reflects typical late-summer subtropical conditions, with high humidity and minimal frontal activity keeping overnight lows near the long-term August average of 25–27°C. Ensemble forecasts show tight agreement around this threshold, with only modest variability from diurnal cooling patterns. A stronger-than-expected monsoon surge or localized urban heat island effect could push the reading lower, though current observations indicate low likelihood of such shifts before midnight resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions