Traders have aligned on 22°C as São Paulo’s lowest temperature for August 29, driven by verified surface observations from Brazil’s National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and automated weather stations confirming this exact minimum under stable high-pressure conditions. Late-winter climatology for the region typically produces overnight lows in the 15–20°C range, and the reported readings matched this pattern without notable cold-air intrusions or model discrepancies. The market-implied odds reflect this convergence of official data, leaving minimal uncertainty once final measurements are released. Only an unusual post-hoc correction to station records or redefinition of the measurement window could realistically shift the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月29日聖保羅最低溫度？
8月29日聖保羅最低溫度？
22°C 100.0%
21°C 3%
18°C 1%
19°C 1.0%
$1,943 交易量
$1,943 交易量
2026-08-29
13°C或以下
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
是
23°C或更高
否
22°C 100.0%
21°C 3%
18°C 1%
19°C 1.0%
$1,943 交易量
$1,943 交易量
2026-08-29
13°C或以下
$65 交易量
否
14°C
$287 交易量
否
15°C
$59 交易量
否
16°C
$121 交易量
否
17°C
$173 交易量
否
18°C
$111 交易量
否
19°C
$120 交易量
否
20°C
$160 交易量
否
21°C
$67 交易量
否
22°C
$488 交易量
是
23°C或更高
$290 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have aligned on 22°C as São Paulo’s lowest temperature for August 29, driven by verified surface observations from Brazil’s National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and automated weather stations confirming this exact minimum under stable high-pressure conditions. Late-winter climatology for the region typically produces overnight lows in the 15–20°C range, and the reported readings matched this pattern without notable cold-air intrusions or model discrepancies. The market-implied odds reflect this convergence of official data, leaving minimal uncertainty once final measurements are released. Only an unusual post-hoc correction to station records or redefinition of the measurement window could realistically shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
交易量
$1,943結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have aligned on 22°C as São Paulo’s lowest temperature for August 29, driven by verified surface observations from Brazil’s National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and automated weather stations confirming this exact minimum under stable high-pressure conditions. Late-winter climatology for the region typically produces overnight lows in the 15–20°C range, and the reported readings matched this pattern without notable cold-air intrusions or model discrepancies. The market-implied odds reflect this convergence of official data, leaving minimal uncertainty once final measurements are released. Only an unusual post-hoc correction to station records or redefinition of the measurement window could realistically shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,943結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Traders have aligned on 22°C as São Paulo’s lowest temperature for August 29, driven by verified surface observations from Brazil’s National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and automated weather stations confirming this exact minimum under stable high-pressure conditions. Late-winter climatology for the region typically produces overnight lows in the 15–20°C range, and the reported readings matched this pattern without notable cold-air intrusions or model discrepancies. The market-implied odds reflect this convergence of official data, leaving minimal uncertainty once final measurements are released. Only an unusual post-hoc correction to station records or redefinition of the measurement window could realistically shift the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions