Official National Weather Service observations at San Francisco International Airport recorded a minimum temperature of exactly 56°F on August 29, matching the seasonal normal of 56°F and aligning with trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 56-57°F range. Persistent marine layer stratus, strong onshore flow from the cool California Current, and coastal upwelling maintained typical overnight stability without significant radiative cooling or warming influences. This outcome reflects standard late-summer climatology for the region, where the daily low rarely deviates far from the long-term average absent unusual synoptic patterns. Potential challenges include rare post-publication data revisions or resolution criteria tied to a non-airport station, though such shifts remain improbable given the finalized climatological report.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於舊金山8月29日的最低溫度？
舊金山8月29日的最低溫度？
56-57°F 100.0%
49°F或以下 <1%
50-51°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
$2,127 交易量
$2,127 交易量
2026-08-29
49°F或以下
否
50-51°F
否
52-53°F
否
54-55°F
否
56-57°F
是
58-59°F
否
60-61°F
否
62-63°F
否
64-65°F
否
66-67°F
否
68°F或以上
否
56-57°F 100.0%
49°F或以下 <1%
50-51°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
$2,127 交易量
$2,127 交易量
2026-08-29
49°F或以下
$129 交易量
否
50-51°F
$121 交易量
否
52-53°F
$71 交易量
否
54-55°F
$52 交易量
否
56-57°F
$897 交易量
是
58-59°F
$200 交易量
否
60-61°F
$167 交易量
否
62-63°F
$103 交易量
否
64-65°F
$45 交易量
否
66-67°F
$297 交易量
否
68°F或以上
$45 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations at San Francisco International Airport recorded a minimum temperature of exactly 56°F on August 29, matching the seasonal normal of 56°F and aligning with trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 56-57°F range. Persistent marine layer stratus, strong onshore flow from the cool California Current, and coastal upwelling maintained typical overnight stability without significant radiative cooling or warming influences. This outcome reflects standard late-summer climatology for the region, where the daily low rarely deviates far from the long-term average absent unusual synoptic patterns. Potential challenges include rare post-publication data revisions or resolution criteria tied to a non-airport station, though such shifts remain improbable given the finalized climatological report.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
交易量
$2,127結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations at San Francisco International Airport recorded a minimum temperature of exactly 56°F on August 29, matching the seasonal normal of 56°F and aligning with trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 56-57°F range. Persistent marine layer stratus, strong onshore flow from the cool California Current, and coastal upwelling maintained typical overnight stability without significant radiative cooling or warming influences. This outcome reflects standard late-summer climatology for the region, where the daily low rarely deviates far from the long-term average absent unusual synoptic patterns. Potential challenges include rare post-publication data revisions or resolution criteria tied to a non-airport station, though such shifts remain improbable given the finalized climatological report.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,127結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official National Weather Service observations at San Francisco International Airport recorded a minimum temperature of exactly 56°F on August 29, matching the seasonal normal of 56°F and aligning with trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 56-57°F range. Persistent marine layer stratus, strong onshore flow from the cool California Current, and coastal upwelling maintained typical overnight stability without significant radiative cooling or warming influences. This outcome reflects standard late-summer climatology for the region, where the daily low rarely deviates far from the long-term average absent unusual synoptic patterns. Potential challenges include rare post-publication data revisions or resolution criteria tied to a non-airport station, though such shifts remain improbable given the finalized climatological report.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions