Recent Environment Canada forecasts and supporting model runs point to a minimum temperature of 14–17 °C in Toronto on August 29, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies overnight that promote radiative cooling under light northwest to west winds of 5–15 km/h. With dew points near 12–14 °C and surface pressure rising, heat loss from the urban boundary layer is expected to bottom out before dawn, consistent with typical late-August climatology when average lows hover around 16 °C. Traders have clustered around the 13–15 °C range because ensemble guidance shows only modest spread, yet small shifts in cloud cover or wind speed could alter the realized minimum by 1–2 °C before resolution. Updated model runs and official briefings through the day will determine whether the final reading lands closer to 13 °C or 16 °C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月29日多倫多氣溫最低？
8月29日多倫多氣溫最低？
19°C或以上 75%
14°C 35%
15°C 28%
13°C 26%
最新
最新
2026-08-29
9°C或以下
5%
10°C
8%
11°C
24%
12°C
24%
13°C
26%
14°C
35%
15°C
28%
16°C
25%
17°C
3%
18°C
14%
19°C或以上
75%
19°C或以上 75%
14°C 35%
15°C 28%
13°C 26%
最新
最新
2026-08-29
9°C或以下
$56 交易量
5%
10°C
$31 交易量
8%
11°C
$0 交易量
24%
12°C
$0 交易量
24%
13°C
$0 交易量
26%
14°C
$0 交易量
35%
15°C
$0 交易量
28%
16°C
$0 交易量
25%
17°C
$65 交易量
3%
18°C
$5 交易量
14%
19°C或以上
$5 交易量
75%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Environment Canada forecasts and supporting model runs point to a minimum temperature of 14–17 °C in Toronto on August 29, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies overnight that promote radiative cooling under light northwest to west winds of 5–15 km/h. With dew points near 12–14 °C and surface pressure rising, heat loss from the urban boundary layer is expected to bottom out before dawn, consistent with typical late-August climatology when average lows hover around 16 °C. Traders have clustered around the 13–15 °C range because ensemble guidance shows only modest spread, yet small shifts in cloud cover or wind speed could alter the realized minimum by 1–2 °C before resolution. Updated model runs and official briefings through the day will determine whether the final reading lands closer to 13 °C or 16 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
交易量
$162結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Environment Canada forecasts and supporting model runs point to a minimum temperature of 14–17 °C in Toronto on August 29, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies overnight that promote radiative cooling under light northwest to west winds of 5–15 km/h. With dew points near 12–14 °C and surface pressure rising, heat loss from the urban boundary layer is expected to bottom out before dawn, consistent with typical late-August climatology when average lows hover around 16 °C. Traders have clustered around the 13–15 °C range because ensemble guidance shows only modest spread, yet small shifts in cloud cover or wind speed could alter the realized minimum by 1–2 °C before resolution. Updated model runs and official briefings through the day will determine whether the final reading lands closer to 13 °C or 16 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$162結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ETRecent Environment Canada forecasts and supporting model runs point to a minimum temperature of 14–17 °C in Toronto on August 29, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies overnight that promote radiative cooling under light northwest to west winds of 5–15 km/h. With dew points near 12–14 °C and surface pressure rising, heat loss from the urban boundary layer is expected to bottom out before dawn, consistent with typical late-August climatology when average lows hover around 16 °C. Traders have clustered around the 13–15 °C range because ensemble guidance shows only modest spread, yet small shifts in cloud cover or wind speed could alter the realized minimum by 1–2 °C before resolution. Updated model runs and official briefings through the day will determine whether the final reading lands closer to 13 °C or 16 °C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions