Persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northeasterly flow across the Kanto region have suppressed both daytime heating and overnight radiative cooling in Tokyo on August 29, 2026, anchoring the minimum temperature near 20–21 °C according to Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and numerical models. Official station observations, including Tokyo Haneda data, recorded a low of 20.0 °C amid humid conditions with dew points near 19 °C, aligning closely with climatological late-summer norms for the date. This strong model consensus and real-time verification underpin the market’s 100 % implied probability on 21 °C. A rapid clearing of skies or an unexpected shift in wind patterns allowing greater nocturnal cooling could still produce a slightly lower reading before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月29日東京的最低溫度？
8月29日東京的最低溫度？
21°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
22°C <1%
$12,970 交易量
$12,970 交易量
2026-08-29
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
22°C <1%
$12,970 交易量
$12,970 交易量
2026-08-29
19°C or below
$712 交易量
No
20°C
$603 交易量
No
21°C
$978 交易量
Yes
22°C
$1,362 交易量
No
23°C
$1,527 交易量
No
24°C
$1,003 交易量
No
25°C
$638 交易量
No
26°C
$1,624 交易量
No
27°C
$1,364 交易量
No
28°C
$1,876 交易量
No
29°C or higher
$1,283 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northeasterly flow across the Kanto region have suppressed both daytime heating and overnight radiative cooling in Tokyo on August 29, 2026, anchoring the minimum temperature near 20–21 °C according to Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and numerical models. Official station observations, including Tokyo Haneda data, recorded a low of 20.0 °C amid humid conditions with dew points near 19 °C, aligning closely with climatological late-summer norms for the date. This strong model consensus and real-time verification underpin the market’s 100 % implied probability on 21 °C. A rapid clearing of skies or an unexpected shift in wind patterns allowing greater nocturnal cooling could still produce a slightly lower reading before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$12,970結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northeasterly flow across the Kanto region have suppressed both daytime heating and overnight radiative cooling in Tokyo on August 29, 2026, anchoring the minimum temperature near 20–21 °C according to Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and numerical models. Official station observations, including Tokyo Haneda data, recorded a low of 20.0 °C amid humid conditions with dew points near 19 °C, aligning closely with climatological late-summer norms for the date. This strong model consensus and real-time verification underpin the market’s 100 % implied probability on 21 °C. A rapid clearing of skies or an unexpected shift in wind patterns allowing greater nocturnal cooling could still produce a slightly lower reading before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$12,970結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northeasterly flow across the Kanto region have suppressed both daytime heating and overnight radiative cooling in Tokyo on August 29, 2026, anchoring the minimum temperature near 20–21 °C according to Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and numerical models. Official station observations, including Tokyo Haneda data, recorded a low of 20.0 °C amid humid conditions with dew points near 19 °C, aligning closely with climatological late-summer norms for the date. This strong model consensus and real-time verification underpin the market’s 100 % implied probability on 21 °C. A rapid clearing of skies or an unexpected shift in wind patterns allowing greater nocturnal cooling could still produce a slightly lower reading before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions