Recent official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models indicate a minimum temperature of 23–24°C for Tokyo on August 31 under mostly cloudy to clearing conditions with light northeast winds and moderate humidity near 90% overnight. Recent days featured cooler readings around 20°C on August 29 amid rain, but stabilizing high pressure and reduced cloud cover are expected to limit further radiative cooling compared to prior nights. The tight 24°C versus 25°C market split reflects minor model differences in exact overnight wind speed and boundary-layer mixing, with traders weighting historical analogs and the 22.4°C daily normal for late August. Updated model runs and JMA briefings before resolution will clarify any shifts from current consensus.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於東京8月31日的最低溫度？
東京8月31日的最低溫度？
24°C 47%
25°C 38%
23°C 6%
26°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
5%
23°C
6%
24°C
47%
25°C
38%
26°C
5%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 47%
25°C 38%
23°C 6%
26°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
20°C or below
$29 交易量
<1%
21°C
$60 交易量
1%
22°C
$183 交易量
5%
23°C
$633 交易量
6%
24°C
$271 交易量
47%
25°C
$678 交易量
38%
26°C
$37 交易量
5%
27°C
$0 交易量
1%
28°C
$37 交易量
<1%
29°C
$60 交易量
<1%
30°C or higher
$180 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models indicate a minimum temperature of 23–24°C for Tokyo on August 31 under mostly cloudy to clearing conditions with light northeast winds and moderate humidity near 90% overnight. Recent days featured cooler readings around 20°C on August 29 amid rain, but stabilizing high pressure and reduced cloud cover are expected to limit further radiative cooling compared to prior nights. The tight 24°C versus 25°C market split reflects minor model differences in exact overnight wind speed and boundary-layer mixing, with traders weighting historical analogs and the 22.4°C daily normal for late August. Updated model runs and JMA briefings before resolution will clarify any shifts from current consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$2,168結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models indicate a minimum temperature of 23–24°C for Tokyo on August 31 under mostly cloudy to clearing conditions with light northeast winds and moderate humidity near 90% overnight. Recent days featured cooler readings around 20°C on August 29 amid rain, but stabilizing high pressure and reduced cloud cover are expected to limit further radiative cooling compared to prior nights. The tight 24°C versus 25°C market split reflects minor model differences in exact overnight wind speed and boundary-layer mixing, with traders weighting historical analogs and the 22.4°C daily normal for late August. Updated model runs and JMA briefings before resolution will clarify any shifts from current consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,168結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models indicate a minimum temperature of 23–24°C for Tokyo on August 31 under mostly cloudy to clearing conditions with light northeast winds and moderate humidity near 90% overnight. Recent days featured cooler readings around 20°C on August 29 amid rain, but stabilizing high pressure and reduced cloud cover are expected to limit further radiative cooling compared to prior nights. The tight 24°C versus 25°C market split reflects minor model differences in exact overnight wind speed and boundary-layer mixing, with traders weighting historical analogs and the 22.4°C daily normal for late August. Updated model runs and JMA briefings before resolution will clarify any shifts from current consensus.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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