Trader consensus heavily favors a 26°C minimum in Panama City on August 29, reflecting verified observational data from regional stations showing overnight lows stabilized near that level under typical late-summer conditions of high humidity, persistent cloud cover, and light winds that limited radiative cooling. Climatological baselines place August nighttime minima around 24–25°C on average, with recent model runs and nearby reports confirming minimal deviation from this pattern amid stable tropical moisture. This positioning aligns with the market-implied probability exceeding 90%, indicating strong agreement on the measurement methodology and absence of unusual cooling events. A realistic challenge could arise only from a post-event revision in official station records or a rare localized microclimate effect not captured in primary observations, though such adjustments are uncommon once preliminary data are validated.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月29日巴拿馬城的最低溫度？
8月29日巴拿馬城的最低溫度？
26°C 96%
25°C 9%
19°C或以下 <1%
20°C <1%
$1,796 交易量
$1,796 交易量
2026-08-29
19°C或以下
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
是
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C或以上
否
26°C 96%
25°C 9%
19°C或以下 <1%
20°C <1%
$1,796 交易量
$1,796 交易量
2026-08-29
19°C或以下
$52 交易量
否
20°C
$62 交易量
否
21°C
$67 交易量
否
22°C
$79 交易量
否
23°C
$144 交易量
否
24°C
$119 交易量
否
25°C
$37 交易量
否
26°C
$22 交易量
是
27°C
$1,008 交易量
否
28°C
$72 交易量
否
29°C或以上
$134 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus heavily favors a 26°C minimum in Panama City on August 29, reflecting verified observational data from regional stations showing overnight lows stabilized near that level under typical late-summer conditions of high humidity, persistent cloud cover, and light winds that limited radiative cooling. Climatological baselines place August nighttime minima around 24–25°C on average, with recent model runs and nearby reports confirming minimal deviation from this pattern amid stable tropical moisture. This positioning aligns with the market-implied probability exceeding 90%, indicating strong agreement on the measurement methodology and absence of unusual cooling events. A realistic challenge could arise only from a post-event revision in official station records or a rare localized microclimate effect not captured in primary observations, though such adjustments are uncommon once preliminary data are validated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
交易量
$1,796結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus heavily favors a 26°C minimum in Panama City on August 29, reflecting verified observational data from regional stations showing overnight lows stabilized near that level under typical late-summer conditions of high humidity, persistent cloud cover, and light winds that limited radiative cooling. Climatological baselines place August nighttime minima around 24–25°C on average, with recent model runs and nearby reports confirming minimal deviation from this pattern amid stable tropical moisture. This positioning aligns with the market-implied probability exceeding 90%, indicating strong agreement on the measurement methodology and absence of unusual cooling events. A realistic challenge could arise only from a post-event revision in official station records or a rare localized microclimate effect not captured in primary observations, though such adjustments are uncommon once preliminary data are validated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,796結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Trader consensus heavily favors a 26°C minimum in Panama City on August 29, reflecting verified observational data from regional stations showing overnight lows stabilized near that level under typical late-summer conditions of high humidity, persistent cloud cover, and light winds that limited radiative cooling. Climatological baselines place August nighttime minima around 24–25°C on average, with recent model runs and nearby reports confirming minimal deviation from this pattern amid stable tropical moisture. This positioning aligns with the market-implied probability exceeding 90%, indicating strong agreement on the measurement methodology and absence of unusual cooling events. A realistic challenge could arise only from a post-event revision in official station records or a rare localized microclimate effect not captured in primary observations, though such adjustments are uncommon once preliminary data are validated.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions