Trader consensus centers on a Miami low of 76-77°F on September 2, aligning with National Weather Service and model guidance projecting upper-70s readings under persistent southeasterly flow and high humidity typical of early September. These conditions suppress radiational cooling overnight while scattered thunderstorms add moisture that further moderates temperature drops, consistent with the 1991-2020 climatological average low of 77.4°F. Recent observations and short-range forecasts show no significant cold-air advection or clear-sky enhancements that would push readings substantially lower, though the secondary market weight on 74-75°F reflects residual uncertainty around localized rainfall timing or minor model spread. Warmer bins carry negligible implied probability given the entrenched tropical moisture regime and lack of strong high pressure. Real-time NWS updates and hourly observations will determine final resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月2日邁阿密的最低溫度？
9月2日邁阿密的最低溫度？
76-77°F 96%
73°F或以下 3%
74-75°F 2%
78-79°F <1%
$3,809 交易量
$3,809 交易量
2026-09-02
73°F或以下
3%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
96%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
華氏90-91度
<1%
華氏92度或更高
<1%
76-77°F 96%
73°F或以下 3%
74-75°F 2%
78-79°F <1%
$3,809 交易量
$3,809 交易量
2026-09-02
73°F或以下
$294 交易量
3%
74-75°F
$69 交易量
2%
76-77°F
$378 交易量
96%
78-79°F
$775 交易量
<1%
80-81°F
$1,315 交易量
<1%
82-83°F
$47 交易量
<1%
84-85°F
$117 交易量
<1%
86-87°F
$125 交易量
<1%
88-89°F
$225 交易量
<1%
華氏90-91度
$165 交易量
<1%
華氏92度或更高
$299 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on a Miami low of 76-77°F on September 2, aligning with National Weather Service and model guidance projecting upper-70s readings under persistent southeasterly flow and high humidity typical of early September. These conditions suppress radiational cooling overnight while scattered thunderstorms add moisture that further moderates temperature drops, consistent with the 1991-2020 climatological average low of 77.4°F. Recent observations and short-range forecasts show no significant cold-air advection or clear-sky enhancements that would push readings substantially lower, though the secondary market weight on 74-75°F reflects residual uncertainty around localized rainfall timing or minor model spread. Warmer bins carry negligible implied probability given the entrenched tropical moisture regime and lack of strong high pressure. Real-time NWS updates and hourly observations will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 31, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
交易量
$3,809結束日期
2026-09-02市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 3:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on a Miami low of 76-77°F on September 2, aligning with National Weather Service and model guidance projecting upper-70s readings under persistent southeasterly flow and high humidity typical of early September. These conditions suppress radiational cooling overnight while scattered thunderstorms add moisture that further moderates temperature drops, consistent with the 1991-2020 climatological average low of 77.4°F. Recent observations and short-range forecasts show no significant cold-air advection or clear-sky enhancements that would push readings substantially lower, though the secondary market weight on 74-75°F reflects residual uncertainty around localized rainfall timing or minor model spread. Warmer bins carry negligible implied probability given the entrenched tropical moisture regime and lack of strong high pressure. Real-time NWS updates and hourly observations will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,809結束日期
2026-09-02市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 3:29 AM ETTrader consensus centers on a Miami low of 76-77°F on September 2, aligning with National Weather Service and model guidance projecting upper-70s readings under persistent southeasterly flow and high humidity typical of early September. These conditions suppress radiational cooling overnight while scattered thunderstorms add moisture that further moderates temperature drops, consistent with the 1991-2020 climatological average low of 77.4°F. Recent observations and short-range forecasts show no significant cold-air advection or clear-sky enhancements that would push readings substantially lower, though the secondary market weight on 74-75°F reflects residual uncertainty around localized rainfall timing or minor model spread. Warmer bins carry negligible implied probability given the entrenched tropical moisture regime and lack of strong high pressure. Real-time NWS updates and hourly observations will determine final resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions