Recent forecast model runs from agencies including the German Weather Service and ECMWF indicate a stable high-pressure ridge over central Europe, supporting partly to mostly cloudy skies and light variable winds under 5 km/h overnight into September 2. These conditions favor moderate radiational cooling from afternoon highs near 23–25 °C, with minimum temperatures most likely settling between 12–14 °C based on dew points near 11 °C and limited cloud cover. Trader consensus reflected in the closely matched probabilities around 10–14 °C outcomes aligns with this consensus while acknowledging model spread on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, which could shift the low by 1–2 °C either way before official DWD verification. Historical September climatology for Munich shows average lows near 12 °C, providing additional context for the balanced market positioning.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月2日慕尼黑最低溫度?
9°C or below 73%
14°C 69%
11°C 51%
10°C 39%
9°C or below
73%
10°C
39%
11°C
51%
12°C
19%
13°C
38%
14°C
69%
15°C
17%
16°C
13%
17°C
13%
18°C
13%
19°C or higher
15%
9°C or below 73%
14°C 69%
11°C 51%
10°C 39%
9°C or below
73%
10°C
39%
11°C
51%
12°C
19%
13°C
38%
14°C
69%
15°C
17%
16°C
13%
17°C
13%
18°C
13%
19°C or higher
15%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast model runs from agencies including the German Weather Service and ECMWF indicate a stable high-pressure ridge over central Europe, supporting partly to mostly cloudy skies and light variable winds under 5 km/h overnight into September 2. These conditions favor moderate radiational cooling from afternoon highs near 23–25 °C, with minimum temperatures most likely settling between 12–14 °C based on dew points near 11 °C and limited cloud cover. Trader consensus reflected in the closely matched probabilities around 10–14 °C outcomes aligns with this consensus while acknowledging model spread on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, which could shift the low by 1–2 °C either way before official DWD verification. Historical September climatology for Munich shows average lows near 12 °C, providing additional context for the balanced market positioning.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions