Recent high-resolution model runs from the German Weather Service and ECMWF ensembles indicate a peak temperature of 24–25 °C in Munich on September 2 under stable high-pressure conditions, light westerly flow, and partly cloudy skies with minimal mixing. This places the outcome modestly above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 22 °C while remaining well below historical extremes. Trader consensus, reflected in the 65.5 % implied probability for 25 °C and 20.5 % for 26 °C, aligns with the latest deterministic guidance showing afternoon maxima near 24 °C and limited upside potential from reduced cloud cover or slight warm advection. No significant synoptic changes are expected before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月2日慕尼黑的最高溫度？
9月2日慕尼黑的最高溫度？
25°C 66%
26°C 21%
24°C 12%
23°C 4%
最新
$14,090 交易量
最新
$14,090 交易量
2026-09-02
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
4%
24°C
12%
25°C
66%
26°C
21%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 66%
26°C 21%
24°C 12%
23°C 4%
最新
$14,090 交易量
最新
$14,090 交易量
2026-09-02
20°C or below
$483 交易量
<1%
21°C
$326 交易量
<1%
22°C
$479 交易量
<1%
23°C
$1,549 交易量
4%
24°C
$3,068 交易量
12%
25°C
$3,685 交易量
66%
26°C
$1,766 交易量
21%
27°C
$1,744 交易量
1%
28°C
$564 交易量
<1%
29°C
$143 交易量
<1%
30°C or higher
$283 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent high-resolution model runs from the German Weather Service and ECMWF ensembles indicate a peak temperature of 24–25 °C in Munich on September 2 under stable high-pressure conditions, light westerly flow, and partly cloudy skies with minimal mixing. This places the outcome modestly above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 22 °C while remaining well below historical extremes. Trader consensus, reflected in the 65.5 % implied probability for 25 °C and 20.5 % for 26 °C, aligns with the latest deterministic guidance showing afternoon maxima near 24 °C and limited upside potential from reduced cloud cover or slight warm advection. No significant synoptic changes are expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$14,090結束日期
2026-09-02市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent high-resolution model runs from the German Weather Service and ECMWF ensembles indicate a peak temperature of 24–25 °C in Munich on September 2 under stable high-pressure conditions, light westerly flow, and partly cloudy skies with minimal mixing. This places the outcome modestly above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 22 °C while remaining well below historical extremes. Trader consensus, reflected in the 65.5 % implied probability for 25 °C and 20.5 % for 26 °C, aligns with the latest deterministic guidance showing afternoon maxima near 24 °C and limited upside potential from reduced cloud cover or slight warm advection. No significant synoptic changes are expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$14,090結束日期
2026-09-02市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent high-resolution model runs from the German Weather Service and ECMWF ensembles indicate a peak temperature of 24–25 °C in Munich on September 2 under stable high-pressure conditions, light westerly flow, and partly cloudy skies with minimal mixing. This places the outcome modestly above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 22 °C while remaining well below historical extremes. Trader consensus, reflected in the 65.5 % implied probability for 25 °C and 20.5 % for 26 °C, aligns with the latest deterministic guidance showing afternoon maxima near 24 °C and limited upside potential from reduced cloud cover or slight warm advection. No significant synoptic changes are expected before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions