Latest forecast models from sources like the German Weather Service and ECMWF project clear skies and light easterly winds over Munich on September 6, favoring strong nocturnal radiative cooling with minimum temperatures likely near 11–13 °C. Dew points around 9–10 °C and stable high pressure limit further drops, while any increase in cloud cover or wind speed could raise the low by 2–3 °C. These conditions place the market-implied odds in a tight cluster around 8–11 °C, reflecting model spread and historical variability around the 11.4 °C September 6 climatological average. Updated model runs and overnight observations will refine the resolution criteria.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月6日慕尼黑最低溫度?
8°C 27%
10°C 26%
9°C 26%
11°C 25%
5°C或以下
15%
6°C
15%
7°C
14%
8°C
27%
9°C
26%
10°C
26%
11°C
25%
12°C
15%
13°C
2%
14°C
15%
15°C或以上
13%
8°C 27%
10°C 26%
9°C 26%
11°C 25%
5°C或以下
15%
6°C
15%
7°C
14%
8°C
27%
9°C
26%
10°C
26%
11°C
25%
12°C
15%
13°C
2%
14°C
15%
15°C或以上
13%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest forecast models from sources like the German Weather Service and ECMWF project clear skies and light easterly winds over Munich on September 6, favoring strong nocturnal radiative cooling with minimum temperatures likely near 11–13 °C. Dew points around 9–10 °C and stable high pressure limit further drops, while any increase in cloud cover or wind speed could raise the low by 2–3 °C. These conditions place the market-implied odds in a tight cluster around 8–11 °C, reflecting model spread and historical variability around the 11.4 °C September 6 climatological average. Updated model runs and overnight observations will refine the resolution criteria.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions