**Trader consensus has converged on a 27°C minimum for Shanghai on September 3, 2026, reflecting consistent official forecasts and real-time observations showing overnight temperatures stabilizing near this level.** Multiple meteorological sources, including local and international models, indicate a daily range of roughly 26–31°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with light northeasterly winds and high humidity typical of early September in the region. This aligns with climatological baselines for Shanghai, where September minima often hover in the mid-20s°C absent strong frontal systems or radiative cooling under clear skies. No significant model divergence or sudden atmospheric shifts—such as an unexpected surge in northerly flow or reduced cloud cover—have emerged to alter the trajectory. The market-implied odds therefore capture the narrow uncertainty band around verified station readings, with only extreme, low-probability revisions in final data releases able to shift the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月3日上海最低溫度？
9月3日上海最低溫度？
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$11,469 交易量
$11,469 交易量
2026-09-03
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$11,469 交易量
$11,469 交易量
2026-09-03
22°C or below
$561 交易量
No
23°C
$673 交易量
No
24°C
$478 交易量
No
25°C
$906 交易量
No
26°C
$2,641 交易量
No
27°C
$4,631 交易量
Yes
28°C
$986 交易量
No
29°C
$285 交易量
No
30°C
$91 交易量
No
31°C
$91 交易量
No
32°C or higher
$126 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on a 27°C minimum for Shanghai on September 3, 2026, reflecting consistent official forecasts and real-time observations showing overnight temperatures stabilizing near this level.** Multiple meteorological sources, including local and international models, indicate a daily range of roughly 26–31°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with light northeasterly winds and high humidity typical of early September in the region. This aligns with climatological baselines for Shanghai, where September minima often hover in the mid-20s°C absent strong frontal systems or radiative cooling under clear skies. No significant model divergence or sudden atmospheric shifts—such as an unexpected surge in northerly flow or reduced cloud cover—have emerged to alter the trajectory. The market-implied odds therefore capture the narrow uncertainty band around verified station readings, with only extreme, low-probability revisions in final data releases able to shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$11,469結束日期
2026-09-03市場開放時間
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on a 27°C minimum for Shanghai on September 3, 2026, reflecting consistent official forecasts and real-time observations showing overnight temperatures stabilizing near this level.** Multiple meteorological sources, including local and international models, indicate a daily range of roughly 26–31°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with light northeasterly winds and high humidity typical of early September in the region. This aligns with climatological baselines for Shanghai, where September minima often hover in the mid-20s°C absent strong frontal systems or radiative cooling under clear skies. No significant model divergence or sudden atmospheric shifts—such as an unexpected surge in northerly flow or reduced cloud cover—have emerged to alter the trajectory. The market-implied odds therefore capture the narrow uncertainty band around verified station readings, with only extreme, low-probability revisions in final data releases able to shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$11,469結束日期
2026-09-03市場開放時間
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
**Trader consensus has converged on a 27°C minimum for Shanghai on September 3, 2026, reflecting consistent official forecasts and real-time observations showing overnight temperatures stabilizing near this level.** Multiple meteorological sources, including local and international models, indicate a daily range of roughly 26–31°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with light northeasterly winds and high humidity typical of early September in the region. This aligns with climatological baselines for Shanghai, where September minima often hover in the mid-20s°C absent strong frontal systems or radiative cooling under clear skies. No significant model divergence or sudden atmospheric shifts—such as an unexpected surge in northerly flow or reduced cloud cover—have emerged to alter the trajectory. The market-implied odds therefore capture the narrow uncertainty band around verified station readings, with only extreme, low-probability revisions in final data releases able to shift the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions