Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models converge on a minimum temperature of 25–26°C for Shanghai on September 5, driven by persistent northeasterly flow, elevated humidity near 75–85%, and light rain or drizzle that limits overnight radiative cooling. This positions 26°C as the market leader at 47.5% implied probability, with 27°C at 25% reflecting slight upside potential if cloud cover thins. Historical September baselines and current model runs show minimal deviation, keeping lower outcomes like 25°C at 19% and extremes below 10% probability. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period will refine these ranges as steering patterns and precipitation timing evolve.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月5日上海最低溫度？
9月5日上海最低溫度？
26°C 49%
27°C 26%
25°C 19%
24°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-09-05
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
5%
25°C
19%
26°C
49%
27°C
26%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C或更高
<1%
26°C 49%
27°C 26%
25°C 19%
24°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-09-05
21°C或以下
$155 交易量
<1%
22°C
$158 交易量
<1%
23°C
$82 交易量
<1%
24°C
$261 交易量
5%
25°C
$342 交易量
19%
26°C
$1,052 交易量
49%
27°C
$493 交易量
26%
28°C
$82 交易量
<1%
29°C
$75 交易量
<1%
30°C
$75 交易量
<1%
31°C或更高
$165 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models converge on a minimum temperature of 25–26°C for Shanghai on September 5, driven by persistent northeasterly flow, elevated humidity near 75–85%, and light rain or drizzle that limits overnight radiative cooling. This positions 26°C as the market leader at 47.5% implied probability, with 27°C at 25% reflecting slight upside potential if cloud cover thins. Historical September baselines and current model runs show minimal deviation, keeping lower outcomes like 25°C at 19% and extremes below 10% probability. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period will refine these ranges as steering patterns and precipitation timing evolve.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$2,940結束日期
2026-09-05市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models converge on a minimum temperature of 25–26°C for Shanghai on September 5, driven by persistent northeasterly flow, elevated humidity near 75–85%, and light rain or drizzle that limits overnight radiative cooling. This positions 26°C as the market leader at 47.5% implied probability, with 27°C at 25% reflecting slight upside potential if cloud cover thins. Historical September baselines and current model runs show minimal deviation, keeping lower outcomes like 25°C at 19% and extremes below 10% probability. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period will refine these ranges as steering patterns and precipitation timing evolve.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,940結束日期
2026-09-05市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple meteorological models converge on a minimum temperature of 25–26°C for Shanghai on September 5, driven by persistent northeasterly flow, elevated humidity near 75–85%, and light rain or drizzle that limits overnight radiative cooling. This positions 26°C as the market leader at 47.5% implied probability, with 27°C at 25% reflecting slight upside potential if cloud cover thins. Historical September baselines and current model runs show minimal deviation, keeping lower outcomes like 25°C at 19% and extremes below 10% probability. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period will refine these ranges as steering patterns and precipitation timing evolve.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions