**Current forecast models position the overnight low for Madrid on September 6 in the low-20s Celsius range, driving the market's leading outcomes of 21°C or below (48%) and 22–23°C.** High pressure and light winds under clear to partly cloudy skies are expected to limit radiative cooling, with ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF runs showing minimums around 21–24°C—well above the long-term average low of 17°C for the date. Recent model updates have held steady without introducing cooler air advection, supporting trader consensus around these thresholds while leaving room for minor downward revisions if dew points drop further overnight. Resolution hinges on official observations, with the next model cycle likely to refine the exact minimum before the market settles.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月6日馬德裏最低氣溫？
9月6日馬德裏最低氣溫？
21°C或以下 48%
31°C或以上 47%
23°C 27%
22°C 27%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
21°C或以下
48%
22°C
27%
23°C
27%
24°C
13%
25°C
14%
26°C
2%
27°C
14%
28°C
14%
29°C
14%
30°C
8%
31°C或以上
47%
21°C或以下 48%
31°C或以上 47%
23°C 27%
22°C 27%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
21°C或以下
$0 交易量
48%
22°C
$0 交易量
27%
23°C
$0 交易量
27%
24°C
$0 交易量
13%
25°C
$0 交易量
14%
26°C
$0 交易量
2%
27°C
$0 交易量
14%
28°C
$0 交易量
14%
29°C
$0 交易量
14%
30°C
$0 交易量
8%
31°C或以上
$0 交易量
47%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models position the overnight low for Madrid on September 6 in the low-20s Celsius range, driving the market's leading outcomes of 21°C or below (48%) and 22–23°C.**
High pressure and light winds under clear to partly cloudy skies are expected to limit radiative cooling, with ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF runs showing minimums around 21–24°C—well above the long-term average low of 17°C for the date. Recent model updates have held steady without introducing cooler air advection, supporting trader consensus around these thresholds while leaving room for minor downward revisions if dew points drop further overnight. Resolution hinges on official observations, with the next model cycle likely to refine the exact minimum before the market settles.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models position the overnight low for Madrid on September 6 in the low-20s Celsius range, driving the market's leading outcomes of 21°C or below (48%) and 22–23°C.**
High pressure and light winds under clear to partly cloudy skies are expected to limit radiative cooling, with ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF runs showing minimums around 21–24°C—well above the long-term average low of 17°C for the date. Recent model updates have held steady without introducing cooler air advection, supporting trader consensus around these thresholds while leaving room for minor downward revisions if dew points drop further overnight. Resolution hinges on official observations, with the next model cycle likely to refine the exact minimum before the market settles.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET**Current forecast models position the overnight low for Madrid on September 6 in the low-20s Celsius range, driving the market's leading outcomes of 21°C or below (48%) and 22–23°C.** High pressure and light winds under clear to partly cloudy skies are expected to limit radiative cooling, with ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF runs showing minimums around 21–24°C—well above the long-term average low of 17°C for the date. Recent model updates have held steady without introducing cooler air advection, supporting trader consensus around these thresholds while leaving room for minor downward revisions if dew points drop further overnight. Resolution hinges on official observations, with the next model cycle likely to refine the exact minimum before the market settles.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions