Recent short-range forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration point to a minimum temperature of 23–25°C in Chengdu on September 6, driven by lingering high pressure, light winds, and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies that limit overnight radiative cooling. Seasonal transition toward the Huaxi autumn rain pattern is introducing increasing moisture and cloud cover, which could modestly suppress the low if showers develop earlier than expected. Historical September climatology shows typical daily minima near 21–23°C, yet current model consensus remains warmer amid the ongoing heat. Upcoming 48-hour updates from official agencies will refine cloud and precipitation timing, key variables that could shift the distribution of implied probabilities across the 20–25°C range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月6日成都最低溫度？
9月6日成都最低溫度？
20°C或以下 50%
21°C 49%
25°C 49%
26°C 49%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
20°C或以下
50%
21°C
49%
22°C
26%
23°C
27%
24°C
36%
25°C
49%
26°C
49%
27°C
49%
28°C
49%
29°C
2%
30°C或以上
44%
20°C或以下 50%
21°C 49%
25°C 49%
26°C 49%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
20°C或以下
$0 交易量
50%
21°C
$0 交易量
49%
22°C
$0 交易量
26%
23°C
$0 交易量
27%
24°C
$0 交易量
36%
25°C
$0 交易量
49%
26°C
$0 交易量
49%
27°C
$0 交易量
49%
28°C
$0 交易量
49%
29°C
$0 交易量
2%
30°C或以上
$0 交易量
44%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration point to a minimum temperature of 23–25°C in Chengdu on September 6, driven by lingering high pressure, light winds, and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies that limit overnight radiative cooling. Seasonal transition toward the Huaxi autumn rain pattern is introducing increasing moisture and cloud cover, which could modestly suppress the low if showers develop earlier than expected. Historical September climatology shows typical daily minima near 21–23°C, yet current model consensus remains warmer amid the ongoing heat. Upcoming 48-hour updates from official agencies will refine cloud and precipitation timing, key variables that could shift the distribution of implied probabilities across the 20–25°C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration point to a minimum temperature of 23–25°C in Chengdu on September 6, driven by lingering high pressure, light winds, and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies that limit overnight radiative cooling. Seasonal transition toward the Huaxi autumn rain pattern is introducing increasing moisture and cloud cover, which could modestly suppress the low if showers develop earlier than expected. Historical September climatology shows typical daily minima near 21–23°C, yet current model consensus remains warmer amid the ongoing heat. Upcoming 48-hour updates from official agencies will refine cloud and precipitation timing, key variables that could shift the distribution of implied probabilities across the 20–25°C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent short-range forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration point to a minimum temperature of 23–25°C in Chengdu on September 6, driven by lingering high pressure, light winds, and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies that limit overnight radiative cooling. Seasonal transition toward the Huaxi autumn rain pattern is introducing increasing moisture and cloud cover, which could modestly suppress the low if showers develop earlier than expected. Historical September climatology shows typical daily minima near 21–23°C, yet current model consensus remains warmer amid the ongoing heat. Upcoming 48-hour updates from official agencies will refine cloud and precipitation timing, key variables that could shift the distribution of implied probabilities across the 20–25°C range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions