Persistent monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered thundershowers over Lucknow are the main factors anchoring trader consensus near 26°C for the September 5 minimum, according to India Meteorological Department forecasts of 26°C lows amid 90%+ relative humidity and easterly winds. These conditions suppress nighttime radiative cooling and maintain elevated dew points near 24–25°C, narrowing the diurnal temperature range compared with clearer post-monsoon nights. Model guidance shows limited disagreement on overall moisture but higher uncertainty on exact rainfall timing, which could allow brief clearer periods and a 1–2°C cooler minimum if showers end earlier. Historical September climatology supports averages around 25–26°C, with active monsoon phases typically preventing sharper drops below 23°C. Updated IMD nowcasts and evening observations on September 4 will provide the final inputs before market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月5日勒克瑙的最低溫度?
21°C或以下 65%
31°C或更高 65%
26°C 54%
23°C 49%
21°C或以下
65%
22°C
7%
23°C
49%
24°C
27%
25°C
27%
26°C
36%
27°C
28%
28°C
8%
29°C
3%
30°C
2%
31°C或更高
65%
21°C或以下 65%
31°C或更高 65%
26°C 54%
23°C 49%
21°C或以下
65%
22°C
7%
23°C
49%
24°C
27%
25°C
27%
26°C
36%
27°C
28%
28°C
8%
29°C
3%
30°C
2%
31°C或更高
65%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered thundershowers over Lucknow are the main factors anchoring trader consensus near 26°C for the September 5 minimum, according to India Meteorological Department forecasts of 26°C lows amid 90%+ relative humidity and easterly winds. These conditions suppress nighttime radiative cooling and maintain elevated dew points near 24–25°C, narrowing the diurnal temperature range compared with clearer post-monsoon nights. Model guidance shows limited disagreement on overall moisture but higher uncertainty on exact rainfall timing, which could allow brief clearer periods and a 1–2°C cooler minimum if showers end earlier. Historical September climatology supports averages around 25–26°C, with active monsoon phases typically preventing sharper drops below 23°C. Updated IMD nowcasts and evening observations on September 4 will provide the final inputs before market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions