Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and international models indicate a minimum temperature near 25–26°C for Lucknow on September 6, driven by persistent monsoon cloud cover, high humidity near 80–90%, and scattered light rainfall that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions align with climatological norms for early September in the Gangetic plains, where overnight lows typically range 24–27°C amid active monsoon flow. Trader consensus at 42.5% for 26°C reflects model agreement on near-normal minima, with lower probabilities for 24°C or below tied to any unexpected clear spells or stronger winds. Updated IMD guidance and next model runs through September 5 evening will refine resolution thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月6日勒克瑙的最低溫度?
31°C或更高 67%
21°C或以下 65%
26°C 52%
27°C 50%
21°C或以下
65%
22°C
7%
23°C
46%
24°C
24%
25°C
24%
26°C
38%
27°C
50%
28°C
3%
29°C
3%
30°C
8%
31°C或更高
67%
31°C或更高 67%
21°C或以下 65%
26°C 52%
27°C 50%
21°C或以下
65%
22°C
7%
23°C
46%
24°C
24%
25°C
24%
26°C
38%
27°C
50%
28°C
3%
29°C
3%
30°C
8%
31°C或更高
67%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and international models indicate a minimum temperature near 25–26°C for Lucknow on September 6, driven by persistent monsoon cloud cover, high humidity near 80–90%, and scattered light rainfall that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions align with climatological norms for early September in the Gangetic plains, where overnight lows typically range 24–27°C amid active monsoon flow. Trader consensus at 42.5% for 26°C reflects model agreement on near-normal minima, with lower probabilities for 24°C or below tied to any unexpected clear spells or stronger winds. Updated IMD guidance and next model runs through September 5 evening will refine resolution thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions