Persistent monsoon conditions, including a low-pressure system over eastern India and steady moisture influx from the Bay of Bengal, are driving cloud cover and scattered thundershowers across Uttar Pradesh, suppressing radiative cooling and anchoring minimum temperatures near 25–26°C. India Meteorological Department forecasts for Lucknow on September 4 explicitly project a minimum of 26°C under generally cloudy skies with isolated rain spells, aligning with recent observations of 25.2°C on September 2 and similar values the prior day. High humidity (85–95%) and easterly winds further moderate overnight lows without allowing significant drops below 24°C or spikes above 27°C. Trader consensus around 26°C reflects this model agreement and historical September baselines, while lower-probability extremes account for forecast uncertainty in convective activity. Official IMD station readings at Amausi will determine market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月4日勒克瑙的最低溫度?
31°C或以上 82%
21°C或以下 81%
24°C 81%
28°C 66%
21°C或以下
81%
22°C
14%
23°C
65%
24°C
81%
25°C
42%
26°C
54%
27°C
42%
28°C
66%
29°C
8%
30°C
8%
31°C或以上
82%
31°C或以上 82%
21°C或以下 81%
24°C 81%
28°C 66%
21°C或以下
81%
22°C
14%
23°C
65%
24°C
81%
25°C
42%
26°C
54%
27°C
42%
28°C
66%
29°C
8%
30°C
8%
31°C或以上
82%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent monsoon conditions, including a low-pressure system over eastern India and steady moisture influx from the Bay of Bengal, are driving cloud cover and scattered thundershowers across Uttar Pradesh, suppressing radiative cooling and anchoring minimum temperatures near 25–26°C. India Meteorological Department forecasts for Lucknow on September 4 explicitly project a minimum of 26°C under generally cloudy skies with isolated rain spells, aligning with recent observations of 25.2°C on September 2 and similar values the prior day. High humidity (85–95%) and easterly winds further moderate overnight lows without allowing significant drops below 24°C or spikes above 27°C. Trader consensus around 26°C reflects this model agreement and historical September baselines, while lower-probability extremes account for forecast uncertainty in convective activity. Official IMD station readings at Amausi will determine market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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