Trader consensus around a 19°C minimum in Seoul (Incheon) on September 8 stems from official Korea Meteorological Administration observations and short-range model runs showing stable overnight conditions with no significant cooling. Recent surface analyses indicate clear skies and light winds limiting radiative heat loss, consistent with climatological norms for early September in the region where daily minima typically range 18–21°C. Ensemble forecasts align closely on this threshold, with minimal spread across guidance. While sensor calibration issues or localized urban heat effects could theoretically alter the final recorded low, such revisions are rare once preliminary data confirm the value near 19°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月8日首爾(仁川)最低溫度?
19°C 100.0%
15°C或以下 <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$12,999 交易量
$12,999 交易量
15°C或以下
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
是
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C 或以上
否
19°C 100.0%
15°C或以下 <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$12,999 交易量
$12,999 交易量
15°C或以下
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
是
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C 或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Trader consensus around a 19°C minimum in Seoul (Incheon) on September 8 stems from official Korea Meteorological Administration observations and short-range model runs showing stable overnight conditions with no significant cooling. Recent surface analyses indicate clear skies and light winds limiting radiative heat loss, consistent with climatological norms for early September in the region where daily minima typically range 18–21°C. Ensemble forecasts align closely on this threshold, with minimal spread across guidance. While sensor calibration issues or localized urban heat effects could theoretically alter the final recorded low, such revisions are rare once preliminary data confirm the value near 19°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions