Skip to main content
icon for 8月30日香港最低溫度?

8月30日香港最低溫度?

icon for 8月30日香港最低溫度?

8月30日香港最低溫度?

28°C 53%

27°C 26%

26°C 13%

25°C 2%

Polymarket

$12,506 交易量

28°C 53%

27°C 26%

26°C 13%

25°C 2%

Polymarket

$12,506 交易量

22°C or below

$219 交易量

<1%

23°C

$665 交易量

1%

24°C

$988 交易量

<1%

25°C

$1,716 交易量

2%

26°C

$1,679 交易量

13%

27°C

$1,366 交易量

40%

28°C

$2,740 交易量

44%

29°C

$2,538 交易量

<1%

30°C

$182 交易量

<1%

31°C

$206 交易量

<1%

32°C or higher

$207 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official HKO forecasts peg the daily minimum at 27°C under a broad low-pressure trough driving scattered showers, thunderstorms, and high humidity of 75-95% with light winds.** This setup limits nocturnal radiative cooling while cloud cover and precipitation timing introduce variability across urban and rural stations. Real-time readings from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional networks show overnight lows clustering near 27–28°C, with isolated spots dipping toward 26°C where clearer intervals allow brief cooling. Trader consensus splits evenly between 27°C and 28°C because small differences in storm timing or wind shifts can shift the official daily minimum by 1°C, while historical late-August baselines and current model consensus support no deeper drop below 26°C. Updated HKO overnight bulletins and final 24-hour station summaries will resolve the market.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$12,506
結束日期
2026-08-30
市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official HKO forecasts peg the daily minimum at 27°C under a broad low-pressure trough driving scattered showers, thunderstorms, and high humidity of 75-95% with light winds.** This setup limits nocturnal radiative cooling while cloud cover and precipitation timing introduce variability across urban and rural stations. Real-time readings from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional networks show overnight lows clustering near 27–28°C, with isolated spots dipping toward 26°C where clearer intervals allow brief cooling. Trader consensus splits evenly between 27°C and 28°C because small differences in storm timing or wind shifts can shift the official daily minimum by 1°C, while historical late-August baselines and current model consensus support no deeper drop below 26°C. Updated HKO overnight bulletins and final 24-hour station summaries will resolve the market.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$12,506
結束日期
2026-08-30
市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"8月30日香港最低溫度?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "28°C" at 44%, followed by "27°C" at 40%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 44¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "8月30日香港最低溫度?" has generated $12.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 28, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "8月30日香港最低溫度?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "8月30日香港最低溫度?" is "28°C" at 44%, meaning the market assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "27°C" at 40%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "8月30日香港最低溫度?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.