**Official HKO forecasts peg the daily minimum at 27°C under a broad low-pressure trough driving scattered showers, thunderstorms, and high humidity of 75-95% with light winds.** This setup limits nocturnal radiative cooling while cloud cover and precipitation timing introduce variability across urban and rural stations. Real-time readings from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional networks show overnight lows clustering near 27–28°C, with isolated spots dipping toward 26°C where clearer intervals allow brief cooling. Trader consensus splits evenly between 27°C and 28°C because small differences in storm timing or wind shifts can shift the official daily minimum by 1°C, while historical late-August baselines and current model consensus support no deeper drop below 26°C. Updated HKO overnight bulletins and final 24-hour station summaries will resolve the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月30日香港最低溫度?
28°C 53%
27°C 26%
26°C 13%
25°C 2%
$12,506 交易量
$12,506 交易量
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
13%
27°C
40%
28°C
44%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 53%
27°C 26%
26°C 13%
25°C 2%
$12,506 交易量
$12,506 交易量
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
13%
27°C
40%
28°C
44%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
**Official HKO forecasts peg the daily minimum at 27°C under a broad low-pressure trough driving scattered showers, thunderstorms, and high humidity of 75-95% with light winds.** This setup limits nocturnal radiative cooling while cloud cover and precipitation timing introduce variability across urban and rural stations. Real-time readings from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional networks show overnight lows clustering near 27–28°C, with isolated spots dipping toward 26°C where clearer intervals allow brief cooling. Trader consensus splits evenly between 27°C and 28°C because small differences in storm timing or wind shifts can shift the official daily minimum by 1°C, while historical late-August baselines and current model consensus support no deeper drop below 26°C. Updated HKO overnight bulletins and final 24-hour station summaries will resolve the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions