Official observations from National Weather Service stations including LaGuardia Airport recorded a daily maximum of 84–85°F in New York City on August 4, 2026, aligning precisely with the 100% market-implied odds for that bracket. This outcome reflects typical late-summer conditions under a stable high-pressure ridge, with daytime heating moderated by moderate humidity and light winds rather than extreme heat advection. Historical August averages near 83°F at Central Park provide climatological context, and the tight consensus stems from verified post-event data rather than forecasts. Only a rare station malfunction or post-resolution data revision could alter the result, scenarios traders view as negligible given multiple redundant reporting sites.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月4日紐約市的最高溫度？
8月4日紐約市的最高溫度？
84-85°F 100.0%
華氏73度或以下 <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$66,102 交易量
$66,102 交易量
2026-08-04
華氏73度或以下
否
74-75°F
否
76-77°F
否
78-79°F
否
80-81°F
否
82-83°F
否
84-85°F
是
86-87°F
否
88-89°F
否
90-91°F
否
攝氏92度或以上
否
84-85°F 100.0%
華氏73度或以下 <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$66,102 交易量
$66,102 交易量
2026-08-04
華氏73度或以下
$488 交易量
否
74-75°F
$513 交易量
否
76-77°F
$841 交易量
否
78-79°F
$7,869 交易量
否
80-81°F
$13,659 交易量
否
82-83°F
$13,515 交易量
否
84-85°F
$12,654 交易量
是
86-87°F
$7,478 交易量
否
88-89°F
$4,974 交易量
否
90-91°F
$3,406 交易量
否
攝氏92度或以上
$819 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from National Weather Service stations including LaGuardia Airport recorded a daily maximum of 84–85°F in New York City on August 4, 2026, aligning precisely with the 100% market-implied odds for that bracket. This outcome reflects typical late-summer conditions under a stable high-pressure ridge, with daytime heating moderated by moderate humidity and light winds rather than extreme heat advection. Historical August averages near 83°F at Central Park provide climatological context, and the tight consensus stems from verified post-event data rather than forecasts. Only a rare station malfunction or post-resolution data revision could alter the result, scenarios traders view as negligible given multiple redundant reporting sites.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$66,102結束日期
2026-08-04市場開放時間
Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from National Weather Service stations including LaGuardia Airport recorded a daily maximum of 84–85°F in New York City on August 4, 2026, aligning precisely with the 100% market-implied odds for that bracket. This outcome reflects typical late-summer conditions under a stable high-pressure ridge, with daytime heating moderated by moderate humidity and light winds rather than extreme heat advection. Historical August averages near 83°F at Central Park provide climatological context, and the tight consensus stems from verified post-event data rather than forecasts. Only a rare station malfunction or post-resolution data revision could alter the result, scenarios traders view as negligible given multiple redundant reporting sites.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$66,102結束日期
2026-08-04市場開放時間
Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official observations from National Weather Service stations including LaGuardia Airport recorded a daily maximum of 84–85°F in New York City on August 4, 2026, aligning precisely with the 100% market-implied odds for that bracket. This outcome reflects typical late-summer conditions under a stable high-pressure ridge, with daytime heating moderated by moderate humidity and light winds rather than extreme heat advection. Historical August averages near 83°F at Central Park provide climatological context, and the tight consensus stems from verified post-event data rather than forecasts. Only a rare station malfunction or post-resolution data revision could alter the result, scenarios traders view as negligible given multiple redundant reporting sites.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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