Recent model guidance and climatological norms position overnight lows of 17–19°C as the most probable outcomes for Paris on August 18, aligning with the market’s clustering around 18°C (44.5%). Following an intense mid-August heatwave that pushed daytime highs above 35°C, a cooldown associated with increased cloud cover and Atlantic air advection has moderated temperatures, reducing the risk of extremes. Typical August radiative cooling under stable high pressure yields minimums near 15–18°C, while Paris’s urban heat island effect often prevents deeper drops. Current ensemble forecasts show limited model spread for the night of the 17th–18th, supporting trader consensus on this narrow range ahead of final observational data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月18日巴黎最低溫度？
8月18日巴黎最低溫度？
18°C 45%
17°C 20%
19°C 19%
20°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-18
15°C或以下
6%
16°C
10%
17°C
20%
18°C
45%
19°C
19%
20°C
12%
21°C
3%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C或以上
<1%
18°C 45%
17°C 20%
19°C 19%
20°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-18
15°C或以下
$0 交易量
6%
16°C
$0 交易量
10%
17°C
$0 交易量
20%
18°C
$23 交易量
45%
19°C
$0 交易量
19%
20°C
$0 交易量
12%
21°C
$34 交易量
3%
22°C
$10 交易量
1%
23°C
$39 交易量
<1%
24°C
$394 交易量
<1%
25°C或以上
$394 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance and climatological norms position overnight lows of 17–19°C as the most probable outcomes for Paris on August 18, aligning with the market’s clustering around 18°C (44.5%). Following an intense mid-August heatwave that pushed daytime highs above 35°C, a cooldown associated with increased cloud cover and Atlantic air advection has moderated temperatures, reducing the risk of extremes. Typical August radiative cooling under stable high pressure yields minimums near 15–18°C, while Paris’s urban heat island effect often prevents deeper drops. Current ensemble forecasts show limited model spread for the night of the 17th–18th, supporting trader consensus on this narrow range ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
交易量
$894結束日期
2026-08-18市場開放時間
Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance and climatological norms position overnight lows of 17–19°C as the most probable outcomes for Paris on August 18, aligning with the market’s clustering around 18°C (44.5%). Following an intense mid-August heatwave that pushed daytime highs above 35°C, a cooldown associated with increased cloud cover and Atlantic air advection has moderated temperatures, reducing the risk of extremes. Typical August radiative cooling under stable high pressure yields minimums near 15–18°C, while Paris’s urban heat island effect often prevents deeper drops. Current ensemble forecasts show limited model spread for the night of the 17th–18th, supporting trader consensus on this narrow range ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$894結束日期
2026-08-18市場開放時間
Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ETRecent model guidance and climatological norms position overnight lows of 17–19°C as the most probable outcomes for Paris on August 18, aligning with the market’s clustering around 18°C (44.5%). Following an intense mid-August heatwave that pushed daytime highs above 35°C, a cooldown associated with increased cloud cover and Atlantic air advection has moderated temperatures, reducing the risk of extremes. Typical August radiative cooling under stable high pressure yields minimums near 15–18°C, while Paris’s urban heat island effect often prevents deeper drops. Current ensemble forecasts show limited model spread for the night of the 17th–18th, supporting trader consensus on this narrow range ahead of final observational data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions