Current National Weather Service guidance and model consensus project a Miami high of 92–93°F on August 16 under partly sunny skies with sea-breeze moderation and limited afternoon convection, aligning with the market’s 58% implied probability for that bin and 39.5% for 94–95°F. Mid-August climatology averages 89–91°F amid high humidity and subtropical moisture that typically curbs extreme heating, while July 2026’s record warmth supports trader expectations of near-normal rather than outlier values. Stronger thunderstorms or increased cloud cover remain the main variables that could suppress the peak into the low 90s, with official observations expected to resolve the market by evening.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月16日邁阿密的最高溫度?
94-95°F 52%
92-93°F 49%
96-97°F 2%
90-91°F 1.0%
85°F or below
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
49%
94-95°F
52%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
<1%
104°F or higher
<1%
94-95°F 52%
92-93°F 49%
96-97°F 2%
90-91°F 1.0%
85°F or below
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
49%
94-95°F
52%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
<1%
104°F or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current National Weather Service guidance and model consensus project a Miami high of 92–93°F on August 16 under partly sunny skies with sea-breeze moderation and limited afternoon convection, aligning with the market’s 58% implied probability for that bin and 39.5% for 94–95°F. Mid-August climatology averages 89–91°F amid high humidity and subtropical moisture that typically curbs extreme heating, while July 2026’s record warmth supports trader expectations of near-normal rather than outlier values. Stronger thunderstorms or increased cloud cover remain the main variables that could suppress the peak into the low 90s, with official observations expected to resolve the market by evening.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions