El Niño conditions developing across the Pacific, combined with a neutral-to-positive Indian Ocean Dipole phase, are driving warmer and drier conditions over Singapore during the southwest monsoon. This has produced recent daily maxima near 33–34°C at official stations, aligning with National Environment Agency outlooks projecting similar peaks through mid-August. Historical August averages hover around 31°C, with values above 34°C uncommon absent strong radiative heating or suppressed convection. Current model consensus and limited rainfall favor a narrow 32–33°C band for the daily maximum on August 17, measured under standard Meteorological Service Singapore protocols at representative sites. Updated short-range forecasts and any late shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns could refine these market-implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於新加坡8月17日的最高溫度?
32°C 56%
33°C 33%
31°C 6%
34°C 1.4%
$19,825 交易量
$19,825 交易量
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
6%
32°C
56%
33°C
33%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 56%
33°C 33%
31°C 6%
34°C 1.4%
$19,825 交易量
$19,825 交易量
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
6%
32°C
56%
33°C
33%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
El Niño conditions developing across the Pacific, combined with a neutral-to-positive Indian Ocean Dipole phase, are driving warmer and drier conditions over Singapore during the southwest monsoon. This has produced recent daily maxima near 33–34°C at official stations, aligning with National Environment Agency outlooks projecting similar peaks through mid-August. Historical August averages hover around 31°C, with values above 34°C uncommon absent strong radiative heating or suppressed convection. Current model consensus and limited rainfall favor a narrow 32–33°C band for the daily maximum on August 17, measured under standard Meteorological Service Singapore protocols at representative sites. Updated short-range forecasts and any late shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns could refine these market-implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions