Persistent heat and elevated dew points across North Texas on August 21 kept overnight radiative cooling minimal, driving the market's strong 97.5% implied probability for an 84-85°F low in Dallas. Official National Weather Service observations from Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport and nearby stations recorded a minimum near 84°F amid daytime highs of 98-105°F, consistent with a stable subtropical air mass lacking fronts, widespread precipitation, or strong winds that would otherwise enhance cooling. Historical August climatology for the region shows typical lows near 77°F, but this episode's humidity trapped heat near the surface, aligning with model consensus and real-time data. A sudden shift to clearer, drier conditions or stronger boundary-layer mixing could have lowered readings into the low 80s, though no such factors materialized.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月21日達拉斯的最低溫度？
8月21日達拉斯的最低溫度？
84-85°F 100.0%
80-81°F 1.7%
82-83°F 1.0%
75°F or below <1%
$4,840 交易量
$4,840 交易量
2026-08-21
75°F or below
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
Yes
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94°F or higher
No
84-85°F 100.0%
80-81°F 1.7%
82-83°F 1.0%
75°F or below <1%
$4,840 交易量
$4,840 交易量
2026-08-21
75°F or below
$302 交易量
No
76-77°F
$149 交易量
No
78-79°F
$136 交易量
No
80-81°F
$685 交易量
No
82-83°F
$45 交易量
No
84-85°F
$770 交易量
Yes
86-87°F
$436 交易量
No
88-89°F
$457 交易量
No
90-91°F
$628 交易量
No
92-93°F
$151 交易量
No
94°F or higher
$1,081 交易量
No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heat and elevated dew points across North Texas on August 21 kept overnight radiative cooling minimal, driving the market's strong 97.5% implied probability for an 84-85°F low in Dallas. Official National Weather Service observations from Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport and nearby stations recorded a minimum near 84°F amid daytime highs of 98-105°F, consistent with a stable subtropical air mass lacking fronts, widespread precipitation, or strong winds that would otherwise enhance cooling. Historical August climatology for the region shows typical lows near 77°F, but this episode's humidity trapped heat near the surface, aligning with model consensus and real-time data. A sudden shift to clearer, drier conditions or stronger boundary-layer mixing could have lowered readings into the low 80s, though no such factors materialized.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ET
交易量
$4,840結束日期
2026-08-21市場開放時間
Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heat and elevated dew points across North Texas on August 21 kept overnight radiative cooling minimal, driving the market's strong 97.5% implied probability for an 84-85°F low in Dallas. Official National Weather Service observations from Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport and nearby stations recorded a minimum near 84°F amid daytime highs of 98-105°F, consistent with a stable subtropical air mass lacking fronts, widespread precipitation, or strong winds that would otherwise enhance cooling. Historical August climatology for the region shows typical lows near 77°F, but this episode's humidity trapped heat near the surface, aligning with model consensus and real-time data. A sudden shift to clearer, drier conditions or stronger boundary-layer mixing could have lowered readings into the low 80s, though no such factors materialized.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,840結束日期
2026-08-21市場開放時間
Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Persistent heat and elevated dew points across North Texas on August 21 kept overnight radiative cooling minimal, driving the market's strong 97.5% implied probability for an 84-85°F low in Dallas. Official National Weather Service observations from Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport and nearby stations recorded a minimum near 84°F amid daytime highs of 98-105°F, consistent with a stable subtropical air mass lacking fronts, widespread precipitation, or strong winds that would otherwise enhance cooling. Historical August climatology for the region shows typical lows near 77°F, but this episode's humidity trapped heat near the surface, aligning with model consensus and real-time data. A sudden shift to clearer, drier conditions or stronger boundary-layer mixing could have lowered readings into the low 80s, though no such factors materialized.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions