Current forecast models, including GFS runs updated as of August 29, indicate clear to partly cloudy conditions overnight in Munich with light westerly winds and moderate humidity, supporting radiative cooling that drives the daily minimum into the single digits Celsius. This aligns with the market-implied odds exceeding 90% for a low of 10°C or below, consistent with observed early-morning readings near 13–16°C trending downward and historical precedents where late-summer minima fall below average under similar high-pressure setups. Official verification from sources like the German Weather Service will resolve the market based on the 24-hour minimum, with limited upside risk from unexpected cloud cover or advection that could keep readings above the threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月29日慕尼黑最低溫度?
10°C or below 99.9%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$11,077 交易量
$11,077 交易量
10°C or below
95%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
10°C or below 99.9%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$11,077 交易量
$11,077 交易量
10°C or below
95%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast models, including GFS runs updated as of August 29, indicate clear to partly cloudy conditions overnight in Munich with light westerly winds and moderate humidity, supporting radiative cooling that drives the daily minimum into the single digits Celsius. This aligns with the market-implied odds exceeding 90% for a low of 10°C or below, consistent with observed early-morning readings near 13–16°C trending downward and historical precedents where late-summer minima fall below average under similar high-pressure setups. Official verification from sources like the German Weather Service will resolve the market based on the 24-hour minimum, with limited upside risk from unexpected cloud cover or advection that could keep readings above the threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions