Recent official forecasts from agencies and models, including Met Office and local Shanghai meteorological updates, project an overnight low of 26–28°C for August 31 amid persistent subtropical humidity near 85–95% and widespread cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Light rain or scattered thunderstorms expected through the night further suppress temperature drops by enhancing downward longwave radiation and mixing. These conditions align closely with late-August climatology for the region, where typical minima hover in the mid-20s°C under similar moisture and weak steering flow. Trader consensus reflected in the 67.5% implied probability for 27°C and secondary support for 26–28°C outcomes tracks this model agreement, with minimal deviation signals from recent observations showing steady 27–28°C lows in prior days. Updated guidance ahead of resolution will refine any last adjustments from evolving precipitation or wind patterns.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月31日上海最低溫度？
8月31日上海最低溫度？
27°C 68%
28°C 22%
26°C 12%
31°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
12%
27°C
68%
28°C
22%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 68%
28°C 22%
26°C 12%
31°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
22°C or below
$58 交易量
<1%
23°C
$214 交易量
<1%
24°C
$63 交易量
<1%
25°C
$63 交易量
<1%
26°C
$358 交易量
12%
27°C
$1,662 交易量
68%
28°C
$1,068 交易量
22%
29°C
$172 交易量
<1%
30°C
$81 交易量
<1%
31°C
$212 交易量
<1%
32°C or higher
$58 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from agencies and models, including Met Office and local Shanghai meteorological updates, project an overnight low of 26–28°C for August 31 amid persistent subtropical humidity near 85–95% and widespread cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Light rain or scattered thunderstorms expected through the night further suppress temperature drops by enhancing downward longwave radiation and mixing. These conditions align closely with late-August climatology for the region, where typical minima hover in the mid-20s°C under similar moisture and weak steering flow. Trader consensus reflected in the 67.5% implied probability for 27°C and secondary support for 26–28°C outcomes tracks this model agreement, with minimal deviation signals from recent observations showing steady 27–28°C lows in prior days. Updated guidance ahead of resolution will refine any last adjustments from evolving precipitation or wind patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$4,008結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from agencies and models, including Met Office and local Shanghai meteorological updates, project an overnight low of 26–28°C for August 31 amid persistent subtropical humidity near 85–95% and widespread cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Light rain or scattered thunderstorms expected through the night further suppress temperature drops by enhancing downward longwave radiation and mixing. These conditions align closely with late-August climatology for the region, where typical minima hover in the mid-20s°C under similar moisture and weak steering flow. Trader consensus reflected in the 67.5% implied probability for 27°C and secondary support for 26–28°C outcomes tracks this model agreement, with minimal deviation signals from recent observations showing steady 27–28°C lows in prior days. Updated guidance ahead of resolution will refine any last adjustments from evolving precipitation or wind patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,008結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent official forecasts from agencies and models, including Met Office and local Shanghai meteorological updates, project an overnight low of 26–28°C for August 31 amid persistent subtropical humidity near 85–95% and widespread cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Light rain or scattered thunderstorms expected through the night further suppress temperature drops by enhancing downward longwave radiation and mixing. These conditions align closely with late-August climatology for the region, where typical minima hover in the mid-20s°C under similar moisture and weak steering flow. Trader consensus reflected in the 67.5% implied probability for 27°C and secondary support for 26–28°C outcomes tracks this model agreement, with minimal deviation signals from recent observations showing steady 27–28°C lows in prior days. Updated guidance ahead of resolution will refine any last adjustments from evolving precipitation or wind patterns.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions