**Trader consensus in this market centers on a 23°C daily minimum for Wuhan on August 29, reflecting the latest numerical weather prediction consensus from regional models.** Persistent southerly flow and high humidity have kept overnight lows elevated through late August, but recent model runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration show a slight nocturnal cooling trend due to increased cloud cover and light northerly winds, pinning the expected minimum near 23°C. Historical climatology for late August places typical lows in the mid-20s°C, so this outcome aligns with observed trends without requiring anomalous conditions. The very low probabilities assigned to 22°C or below or 24°C and higher indicate limited uncertainty in current guidance. A realistic challenge could arise from localized variations in official station readings, a late forecast adjustment from additional observational data, or resolution criteria tied to a specific reporting site.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月29日武漢最低氣溫？
8月29日武漢最低氣溫？
23°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$3,300 交易量
$3,300 交易量
2026-08-29
22°C or below
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$3,300 交易量
$3,300 交易量
2026-08-29
22°C or below
$433 交易量
No
23°C
$578 交易量
Yes
24°C
$237 交易量
No
25°C
$102 交易量
No
26°C
$200 交易量
No
27°C
$415 交易量
No
28°C
$1,065 交易量
No
29°C
$76 交易量
No
30°C
$75 交易量
No
31°C
$60 交易量
No
32°C or higher
$60 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus in this market centers on a 23°C daily minimum for Wuhan on August 29, reflecting the latest numerical weather prediction consensus from regional models.** Persistent southerly flow and high humidity have kept overnight lows elevated through late August, but recent model runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration show a slight nocturnal cooling trend due to increased cloud cover and light northerly winds, pinning the expected minimum near 23°C. Historical climatology for late August places typical lows in the mid-20s°C, so this outcome aligns with observed trends without requiring anomalous conditions. The very low probabilities assigned to 22°C or below or 24°C and higher indicate limited uncertainty in current guidance. A realistic challenge could arise from localized variations in official station readings, a late forecast adjustment from additional observational data, or resolution criteria tied to a specific reporting site.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$3,300結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus in this market centers on a 23°C daily minimum for Wuhan on August 29, reflecting the latest numerical weather prediction consensus from regional models.** Persistent southerly flow and high humidity have kept overnight lows elevated through late August, but recent model runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration show a slight nocturnal cooling trend due to increased cloud cover and light northerly winds, pinning the expected minimum near 23°C. Historical climatology for late August places typical lows in the mid-20s°C, so this outcome aligns with observed trends without requiring anomalous conditions. The very low probabilities assigned to 22°C or below or 24°C and higher indicate limited uncertainty in current guidance. A realistic challenge could arise from localized variations in official station readings, a late forecast adjustment from additional observational data, or resolution criteria tied to a specific reporting site.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,300結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
**Trader consensus in this market centers on a 23°C daily minimum for Wuhan on August 29, reflecting the latest numerical weather prediction consensus from regional models.** Persistent southerly flow and high humidity have kept overnight lows elevated through late August, but recent model runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration show a slight nocturnal cooling trend due to increased cloud cover and light northerly winds, pinning the expected minimum near 23°C. Historical climatology for late August places typical lows in the mid-20s°C, so this outcome aligns with observed trends without requiring anomalous conditions. The very low probabilities assigned to 22°C or below or 24°C and higher indicate limited uncertainty in current guidance. A realistic challenge could arise from localized variations in official station readings, a late forecast adjustment from additional observational data, or resolution criteria tied to a specific reporting site.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions