Recent forecasts from GFS model runs and agencies including the Italian Meteorological Service indicate a stable overnight minimum of 21°C in Milan on August 28, driven by a lingering warm, humid air mass, light variable winds, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies following daytime highs near 30–31°C. Multiple sources converge on nighttime lows of 21–22°C with only minor model spread, supporting the market’s 99.5% implied probability for exactly 21°C. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge of cooler northerly flow or unusually clear skies enhancing surface cooling below model consensus, though current observations and short-range guidance show low likelihood of such deviation before midnight.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月28日米蘭的最低溫度？
8月28日米蘭的最低溫度？
21°C 100.0%
17°C 1.0%
18°C 1.0%
19°C 1.0%
$1,951 交易量
$1,951 交易量
2026-08-28
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
17°C 1.0%
18°C 1.0%
19°C 1.0%
$1,951 交易量
$1,951 交易量
2026-08-28
16°C or below
$152 交易量
No
17°C
$185 交易量
No
18°C
$79 交易量
No
19°C
$67 交易量
No
20°C
$109 交易量
No
21°C
$364 交易量
Yes
22°C
$310 交易量
No
23°C
$116 交易量
No
24°C
$295 交易量
No
25°C
$114 交易量
No
26°C or higher
$159 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from GFS model runs and agencies including the Italian Meteorological Service indicate a stable overnight minimum of 21°C in Milan on August 28, driven by a lingering warm, humid air mass, light variable winds, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies following daytime highs near 30–31°C. Multiple sources converge on nighttime lows of 21–22°C with only minor model spread, supporting the market’s 99.5% implied probability for exactly 21°C. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge of cooler northerly flow or unusually clear skies enhancing surface cooling below model consensus, though current observations and short-range guidance show low likelihood of such deviation before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$1,951結束日期
2026-08-28市場開放時間
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from GFS model runs and agencies including the Italian Meteorological Service indicate a stable overnight minimum of 21°C in Milan on August 28, driven by a lingering warm, humid air mass, light variable winds, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies following daytime highs near 30–31°C. Multiple sources converge on nighttime lows of 21–22°C with only minor model spread, supporting the market’s 99.5% implied probability for exactly 21°C. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge of cooler northerly flow or unusually clear skies enhancing surface cooling below model consensus, though current observations and short-range guidance show low likelihood of such deviation before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,951結束日期
2026-08-28市場開放時間
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Recent forecasts from GFS model runs and agencies including the Italian Meteorological Service indicate a stable overnight minimum of 21°C in Milan on August 28, driven by a lingering warm, humid air mass, light variable winds, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies following daytime highs near 30–31°C. Multiple sources converge on nighttime lows of 21–22°C with only minor model spread, supporting the market’s 99.5% implied probability for exactly 21°C. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge of cooler northerly flow or unusually clear skies enhancing surface cooling below model consensus, though current observations and short-range guidance show low likelihood of such deviation before midnight.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions