**Forecast models and official outlooks from Singapore’s Meteorological Service and NEA position 32–33 °C as the most likely daily maximum for August 31 under prevailing southwest monsoon conditions.** Localized thundery showers during the afternoon, typical of the season, are expected to cap extreme heating while southeasterly to southwesterly winds maintain warm, humid air masses with overnight minima remaining above 27 °C. Recent fortnightly guidance indicates daily maxima of 33–34 °C on most days through the end of August, with occasional peaks near 35 °C possible when showers are suppressed, consistent with the observed trend of above-average temperatures this month. Trader-implied probabilities align closely with this range because numerical weather prediction ensembles show only modest day-to-day variability and no strong signals for either significantly cooler or hotter outcomes. The final recorded maximum will depend on the timing and coverage of convection; updated short-range model runs and the official morning forecast on August 31 will provide the last major inputs before market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於新加坡8月31日的最高溫度?
33°C 55%
32°C 44%
31°C 3%
34°C 3%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
3%
32°C
44%
33°C
55%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 55%
32°C 44%
31°C 3%
34°C 3%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
3%
32°C
44%
33°C
55%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Forecast models and official outlooks from Singapore’s Meteorological Service and NEA position 32–33 °C as the most likely daily maximum for August 31 under prevailing southwest monsoon conditions.** Localized thundery showers during the afternoon, typical of the season, are expected to cap extreme heating while southeasterly to southwesterly winds maintain warm, humid air masses with overnight minima remaining above 27 °C. Recent fortnightly guidance indicates daily maxima of 33–34 °C on most days through the end of August, with occasional peaks near 35 °C possible when showers are suppressed, consistent with the observed trend of above-average temperatures this month. Trader-implied probabilities align closely with this range because numerical weather prediction ensembles show only modest day-to-day variability and no strong signals for either significantly cooler or hotter outcomes. The final recorded maximum will depend on the timing and coverage of convection; updated short-range model runs and the official morning forecast on August 31 will provide the last major inputs before market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions