**Trader sentiment for Busan's September 3 lowest temperature centers on 24–25°C as the consensus range, with 25°C carrying the highest implied probability at 71%.** This positioning stems from official forecasts showing overnight lows stabilizing near 25–26°C (78°F) under persistent northeasterly winds, high humidity near 80%, and overcast or drizzly conditions that limit radiative cooling. Coastal marine influence from the East Sea moderates extremes, keeping minimums above typical inland values, while model runs from sources like the Met Office and local agencies align on no sharp cooling front arriving before dawn on the 4th. Recent data confirm steady warm-air advection with dew points around 24–25°C, reinforcing trader confidence in the 24–25°C bracket over lower thresholds (under 1% for 20°C or below) or warmer outliers. Upcoming hourly observations through the night will provide the final resolution data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月3日釜山最低溫度?
25°C 83%
24°C 35%
23°C 27%
21°C 23%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
23%
22°C
13%
23°C
27%
24°C
35%
25°C
72%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 83%
24°C 35%
23°C 27%
21°C 23%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
23%
22°C
13%
23°C
27%
24°C
35%
25°C
72%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Trader sentiment for Busan's September 3 lowest temperature centers on 24–25°C as the consensus range, with 25°C carrying the highest implied probability at 71%.** This positioning stems from official forecasts showing overnight lows stabilizing near 25–26°C (78°F) under persistent northeasterly winds, high humidity near 80%, and overcast or drizzly conditions that limit radiative cooling. Coastal marine influence from the East Sea moderates extremes, keeping minimums above typical inland values, while model runs from sources like the Met Office and local agencies align on no sharp cooling front arriving before dawn on the 4th. Recent data confirm steady warm-air advection with dew points around 24–25°C, reinforcing trader confidence in the 24–25°C bracket over lower thresholds (under 1% for 20°C or below) or warmer outliers. Upcoming hourly observations through the night will provide the final resolution data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions