Persistent southwest monsoon activity and widespread cloud cover over Metro Manila have kept overnight radiative cooling limited, anchoring the lowest temperature near the 25–26°C threshold. Official PAGASA observations from nearby stations recorded a minimum of 28.1°C early on September 3, while multiple forecast models and real-time data show the overnight low settling between 25°C and 27°C amid steady rain and high humidity near 90%. Trader consensus splitting evenly between 25°C and 26°C reflects the narrow margin in model guidance and the influence of localized urban heat and precipitation timing on the final minimum. Updated PAGASA bulletins and post-midnight observations will determine resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月3日馬尼拉的最低溫度?
26°C 98%
25°C 20%
22°C 1.0%
24°C 1.0%
$1,218 交易量
$1,218 交易量
21°C或以下
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
是
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C或以上
否
26°C 98%
25°C 20%
22°C 1.0%
24°C 1.0%
$1,218 交易量
$1,218 交易量
21°C或以下
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
是
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Persistent southwest monsoon activity and widespread cloud cover over Metro Manila have kept overnight radiative cooling limited, anchoring the lowest temperature near the 25–26°C threshold. Official PAGASA observations from nearby stations recorded a minimum of 28.1°C early on September 3, while multiple forecast models and real-time data show the overnight low settling between 25°C and 27°C amid steady rain and high humidity near 90%. Trader consensus splitting evenly between 25°C and 26°C reflects the narrow margin in model guidance and the influence of localized urban heat and precipitation timing on the final minimum. Updated PAGASA bulletins and post-midnight observations will determine resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions