Persistent southwest monsoon activity, recently enhanced by Tropical Storm Pilandok exiting the Philippine Area of Responsibility, drives extensive cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity across Manila, moderating overnight radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures near 25–26°C on September 4. Official PAGASA guidance and multiple forecast models align on this range amid southwest winds of 10–16 mph, with dew points near 24°C limiting further drops despite widespread rain. Historical September baselines average around 25°C lows, and current El Niño conditions add slight warmth but are offset by monsoon dynamics. Model consensus remains tight, though minor shifts in storm timing or intensity could alter the exact minimum by 1–2°C before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月4日馬尼拉的最低溫度？
9月4日馬尼拉的最低溫度？
21°C或以下 96%
31°C或以上 82%
23°C 48%
25°C 48%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
21°C或以下
96%
22°C
47%
23°C
48%
24°C
47%
25°C
48%
26°C
30%
27°C
30%
28°C
48%
29°C
48%
30°C
48%
31°C或以上
82%
21°C或以下 96%
31°C或以上 82%
23°C 48%
25°C 48%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
21°C或以下
$0 交易量
96%
22°C
$0 交易量
47%
23°C
$0 交易量
48%
24°C
$0 交易量
47%
25°C
$0 交易量
48%
26°C
$0 交易量
30%
27°C
$0 交易量
30%
28°C
$0 交易量
48%
29°C
$0 交易量
48%
30°C
$0 交易量
48%
31°C或以上
$0 交易量
82%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon activity, recently enhanced by Tropical Storm Pilandok exiting the Philippine Area of Responsibility, drives extensive cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity across Manila, moderating overnight radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures near 25–26°C on September 4. Official PAGASA guidance and multiple forecast models align on this range amid southwest winds of 10–16 mph, with dew points near 24°C limiting further drops despite widespread rain. Historical September baselines average around 25°C lows, and current El Niño conditions add slight warmth but are offset by monsoon dynamics. Model consensus remains tight, though minor shifts in storm timing or intensity could alter the exact minimum by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 2, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon activity, recently enhanced by Tropical Storm Pilandok exiting the Philippine Area of Responsibility, drives extensive cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity across Manila, moderating overnight radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures near 25–26°C on September 4. Official PAGASA guidance and multiple forecast models align on this range amid southwest winds of 10–16 mph, with dew points near 24°C limiting further drops despite widespread rain. Historical September baselines average around 25°C lows, and current El Niño conditions add slight warmth but are offset by monsoon dynamics. Model consensus remains tight, though minor shifts in storm timing or intensity could alter the exact minimum by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 12:31 AM ETPersistent southwest monsoon activity, recently enhanced by Tropical Storm Pilandok exiting the Philippine Area of Responsibility, drives extensive cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity across Manila, moderating overnight radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures near 25–26°C on September 4. Official PAGASA guidance and multiple forecast models align on this range amid southwest winds of 10–16 mph, with dew points near 24°C limiting further drops despite widespread rain. Historical September baselines average around 25°C lows, and current El Niño conditions add slight warmth but are offset by monsoon dynamics. Model consensus remains tight, though minor shifts in storm timing or intensity could alter the exact minimum by 1–2°C before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions