Recent observational data from Amsterdam weather stations confirm a minimum temperature of 14°C on September 2, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 65% implied probability for that threshold. Mild southwesterly flow, persistent cloud cover, and elevated dew points near 13–14°C limited nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows above the long-term average of 12.2°C. These conditions reflect broader early-September warmth driven by a stable high-pressure influence over western Europe, with no significant cold-air advection or clear-sky periods to drive sharper drops. Updated model consensus and station reports through the evening of September 2 reinforced expectations for this outcome ahead of final resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月2日阿姆斯特丹的最低溫度?
14°C 0
$1,348 交易量
$1,348 交易量
14°C
-
14°C 0
$1,348 交易量
$1,348 交易量
14°C
-
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent observational data from Amsterdam weather stations confirm a minimum temperature of 14°C on September 2, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 65% implied probability for that threshold. Mild southwesterly flow, persistent cloud cover, and elevated dew points near 13–14°C limited nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows above the long-term average of 12.2°C. These conditions reflect broader early-September warmth driven by a stable high-pressure influence over western Europe, with no significant cold-air advection or clear-sky periods to drive sharper drops. Updated model consensus and station reports through the evening of September 2 reinforced expectations for this outcome ahead of final resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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