Trader consensus around an 11°C minimum in Wellington on September 5 reflects official forecast guidance from regional models and observations, which show overnight temperatures holding near this level under persistent northwesterly flow and extensive cloud cover that limits radiational cooling. Historical September climatology for the region, with typical minima of 8–12°C, aligns with current conditions where dew points near 9–10°C and moderate winds suppress further drops. The implied probability above 99% indicates strong model agreement on these dynamics through the end of the 24-hour period. A rapid clearing of skies or an unexpected southerly shift could allow additional cooling below 11°C, though such changes appear unlikely based on the latest guidance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月5日惠靈頓的最低溫度？
9月5日惠靈頓的最低溫度？
11°C 100.0%
7°C或以下 <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-09-05
7°C或以下
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
100%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C或以上
<1%
11°C 100.0%
7°C或以下 <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-09-05
7°C或以下
$67 交易量
<1%
8°C
$76 交易量
<1%
9°C
$67 交易量
<1%
10°C
$125 交易量
<1%
11°C
$530 交易量
100%
12°C
$1,793 交易量
<1%
13°C
$3,206 交易量
<1%
14°C
$45 交易量
<1%
15°C
$1,055 交易量
<1%
16°C
$1,055 交易量
<1%
17°C或以上
$1,045 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around an 11°C minimum in Wellington on September 5 reflects official forecast guidance from regional models and observations, which show overnight temperatures holding near this level under persistent northwesterly flow and extensive cloud cover that limits radiational cooling. Historical September climatology for the region, with typical minima of 8–12°C, aligns with current conditions where dew points near 9–10°C and moderate winds suppress further drops. The implied probability above 99% indicates strong model agreement on these dynamics through the end of the 24-hour period. A rapid clearing of skies or an unexpected southerly shift could allow additional cooling below 11°C, though such changes appear unlikely based on the latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$9,065結束日期
2026-09-05市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around an 11°C minimum in Wellington on September 5 reflects official forecast guidance from regional models and observations, which show overnight temperatures holding near this level under persistent northwesterly flow and extensive cloud cover that limits radiational cooling. Historical September climatology for the region, with typical minima of 8–12°C, aligns with current conditions where dew points near 9–10°C and moderate winds suppress further drops. The implied probability above 99% indicates strong model agreement on these dynamics through the end of the 24-hour period. A rapid clearing of skies or an unexpected southerly shift could allow additional cooling below 11°C, though such changes appear unlikely based on the latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$9,065結束日期
2026-09-05市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ETTrader consensus around an 11°C minimum in Wellington on September 5 reflects official forecast guidance from regional models and observations, which show overnight temperatures holding near this level under persistent northwesterly flow and extensive cloud cover that limits radiational cooling. Historical September climatology for the region, with typical minima of 8–12°C, aligns with current conditions where dew points near 9–10°C and moderate winds suppress further drops. The implied probability above 99% indicates strong model agreement on these dynamics through the end of the 24-hour period. A rapid clearing of skies or an unexpected southerly shift could allow additional cooling below 11°C, though such changes appear unlikely based on the latest guidance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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