Recent forecasts from European models indicate the lowest temperature in Munich on September 9 will likely settle between 12–13°C, driven by persistent cloud cover and light rain that limited nocturnal radiative cooling. High humidity near 80–90% and light southwesterly winds kept dew points elevated around 10°C, preventing sharper drops typical under clear skies. This aligns with the historical average low of 11°C for the date while current surface observations show overnight readings stabilizing near 11–12°C. Traders weigh these stable conditions against potential model revisions as the final minimum is recorded, with 12°C and 13°C outcomes commanding nearly equal implied probabilities due to narrow uncertainty in the temperature trajectory.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月9日慕尼黑最低溫度？
9月9日慕尼黑最低溫度？
13°C 99.5%
8°C或以下 <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$1,480 交易量
$1,480 交易量
2026-09-09
8°C或以下
否
9°C
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
是
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C或以上
否
13°C 99.5%
8°C或以下 <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$1,480 交易量
$1,480 交易量
2026-09-09
8°C或以下
$113 交易量
否
9°C
$121 交易量
否
10°C
$65 交易量
否
11°C
$30 交易量
否
12°C
$30 交易量
否
13°C
$47 交易量
是
14°C
$20 交易量
否
15°C
$143 交易量
否
16°C
$50 交易量
否
17°C
$801 交易量
否
18°C或以上
$60 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European models indicate the lowest temperature in Munich on September 9 will likely settle between 12–13°C, driven by persistent cloud cover and light rain that limited nocturnal radiative cooling. High humidity near 80–90% and light southwesterly winds kept dew points elevated around 10°C, preventing sharper drops typical under clear skies. This aligns with the historical average low of 11°C for the date while current surface observations show overnight readings stabilizing near 11–12°C. Traders weigh these stable conditions against potential model revisions as the final minimum is recorded, with 12°C and 13°C outcomes commanding nearly equal implied probabilities due to narrow uncertainty in the temperature trajectory.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$1,480結束日期
2026-09-09市場開放時間
Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European models indicate the lowest temperature in Munich on September 9 will likely settle between 12–13°C, driven by persistent cloud cover and light rain that limited nocturnal radiative cooling. High humidity near 80–90% and light southwesterly winds kept dew points elevated around 10°C, preventing sharper drops typical under clear skies. This aligns with the historical average low of 11°C for the date while current surface observations show overnight readings stabilizing near 11–12°C. Traders weigh these stable conditions against potential model revisions as the final minimum is recorded, with 12°C and 13°C outcomes commanding nearly equal implied probabilities due to narrow uncertainty in the temperature trajectory.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,480結束日期
2026-09-09市場開放時間
Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Recent forecasts from European models indicate the lowest temperature in Munich on September 9 will likely settle between 12–13°C, driven by persistent cloud cover and light rain that limited nocturnal radiative cooling. High humidity near 80–90% and light southwesterly winds kept dew points elevated around 10°C, preventing sharper drops typical under clear skies. This aligns with the historical average low of 11°C for the date while current surface observations show overnight readings stabilizing near 11–12°C. Traders weigh these stable conditions against potential model revisions as the final minimum is recorded, with 12°C and 13°C outcomes commanding nearly equal implied probabilities due to narrow uncertainty in the temperature trajectory.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions