Recent numerical weather prediction runs from agencies including the German Weather Service and ECMWF consensus point to overnight lows near 10–11°C in Munich on September 11 under partly cloudy conditions with light winds and minimal precipitation. This places the most likely outcome near historical September averages of 10.6°C, yet the closely matched market odds between 15°C-or-higher and 5°C-or-below reflect model spread in cloud-cover forecasts and radiative cooling potential. Clearer skies could enhance nocturnal heat loss toward single digits, while increased moisture or southerly flow would limit cooling. Updated model guidance and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月11日是慕尼黑的最低溫度？
9月11日是慕尼黑的最低溫度？
15°C或以上 90%
5°C或以下 30%
10°C 26%
7°C 25%
最新
最新
2026-09-11
5°C或以下
30%
6°C
20%
7°C
25%
8°C
22%
9°C
21%
10°C
26%
11°C
12%
12°C
4%
13°C
16%
14°C
15%
15°C或以上
90%
15°C或以上 90%
5°C或以下 30%
10°C 26%
7°C 25%
最新
最新
2026-09-11
5°C或以下
$0 交易量
30%
6°C
$0 交易量
20%
7°C
$0 交易量
25%
8°C
$0 交易量
22%
9°C
$0 交易量
21%
10°C
$0 交易量
26%
11°C
$0 交易量
12%
12°C
$556 交易量
4%
13°C
$0 交易量
16%
14°C
$0 交易量
15%
15°C或以上
$0 交易量
90%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction runs from agencies including the German Weather Service and ECMWF consensus point to overnight lows near 10–11°C in Munich on September 11 under partly cloudy conditions with light winds and minimal precipitation. This places the most likely outcome near historical September averages of 10.6°C, yet the closely matched market odds between 15°C-or-higher and 5°C-or-below reflect model spread in cloud-cover forecasts and radiative cooling potential. Clearer skies could enhance nocturnal heat loss toward single digits, while increased moisture or southerly flow would limit cooling. Updated model guidance and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$556結束日期
2026-09-11市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction runs from agencies including the German Weather Service and ECMWF consensus point to overnight lows near 10–11°C in Munich on September 11 under partly cloudy conditions with light winds and minimal precipitation. This places the most likely outcome near historical September averages of 10.6°C, yet the closely matched market odds between 15°C-or-higher and 5°C-or-below reflect model spread in cloud-cover forecasts and radiative cooling potential. Clearer skies could enhance nocturnal heat loss toward single digits, while increased moisture or southerly flow would limit cooling. Updated model guidance and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$556結束日期
2026-09-11市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent numerical weather prediction runs from agencies including the German Weather Service and ECMWF consensus point to overnight lows near 10–11°C in Munich on September 11 under partly cloudy conditions with light winds and minimal precipitation. This places the most likely outcome near historical September averages of 10.6°C, yet the closely matched market odds between 15°C-or-higher and 5°C-or-below reflect model spread in cloud-cover forecasts and radiative cooling potential. Clearer skies could enhance nocturnal heat loss toward single digits, while increased moisture or southerly flow would limit cooling. Updated model guidance and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions