Recent forecast model consensus points to an overnight minimum temperature in Amsterdam of 12–14°C on September 9, 2026, driven by persistent westerly to northwesterly flow of maritime air, widespread cloud cover, and light to moderate precipitation that suppresses radiative cooling. Dew points near 11–12°C further anchor surface temperatures, while historical September averages of 11.4°C provide context for the mild conditions. The tight market-implied probabilities around 12–14°C reflect uncertainty in the precise timing of any partial clearing overnight and exact wind speeds, which could allow slightly greater cooling or maintain warmer readings depending on the final model runs and observations from stations such as Schiphol.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月9日阿姆斯特丹的最低溫度？
9月9日阿姆斯特丹的最低溫度？
13°C 50%
12°C 44%
11°C 9%
10°C 1.9%
最新
最新
2026-09-09
9°C或以下
<1%
10°C
2%
11°C
9%
12°C
44%
13°C
50%
14°C
-
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C或以上
<1%
13°C 50%
12°C 44%
11°C 9%
10°C 1.9%
最新
最新
2026-09-09
9°C或以下
$40 交易量
<1%
10°C
$146 交易量
2%
11°C
$13 交易量
9%
12°C
$0 交易量
44%
13°C
$0 交易量
50%
14°C
$141 交易量
-
15°C
$164 交易量
<1%
16°C
$215 交易量
<1%
17°C
$199 交易量
<1%
18°C
$264 交易量
<1%
19°C或以上
$190 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus points to an overnight minimum temperature in Amsterdam of 12–14°C on September 9, 2026, driven by persistent westerly to northwesterly flow of maritime air, widespread cloud cover, and light to moderate precipitation that suppresses radiative cooling. Dew points near 11–12°C further anchor surface temperatures, while historical September averages of 11.4°C provide context for the mild conditions. The tight market-implied probabilities around 12–14°C reflect uncertainty in the precise timing of any partial clearing overnight and exact wind speeds, which could allow slightly greater cooling or maintain warmer readings depending on the final model runs and observations from stations such as Schiphol.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$1,374結束日期
2026-09-09市場開放時間
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus points to an overnight minimum temperature in Amsterdam of 12–14°C on September 9, 2026, driven by persistent westerly to northwesterly flow of maritime air, widespread cloud cover, and light to moderate precipitation that suppresses radiative cooling. Dew points near 11–12°C further anchor surface temperatures, while historical September averages of 11.4°C provide context for the mild conditions. The tight market-implied probabilities around 12–14°C reflect uncertainty in the precise timing of any partial clearing overnight and exact wind speeds, which could allow slightly greater cooling or maintain warmer readings depending on the final model runs and observations from stations such as Schiphol.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,374結束日期
2026-09-09市場開放時間
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecast model consensus points to an overnight minimum temperature in Amsterdam of 12–14°C on September 9, 2026, driven by persistent westerly to northwesterly flow of maritime air, widespread cloud cover, and light to moderate precipitation that suppresses radiative cooling. Dew points near 11–12°C further anchor surface temperatures, while historical September averages of 11.4°C provide context for the mild conditions. The tight market-implied probabilities around 12–14°C reflect uncertainty in the precise timing of any partial clearing overnight and exact wind speeds, which could allow slightly greater cooling or maintain warmer readings depending on the final model runs and observations from stations such as Schiphol.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions