Persistent monsoon moisture and widespread cloud cover from thundershowers across Uttar Pradesh are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling in Lucknow, keeping overnight lows anchored near 26–27 °C. Official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models show partly cloudy to generally cloudy skies with scattered rain or thunderstorms through the night of September 10, sustaining high humidity near 80–90 % and dew points around 25–26 °C. These conditions align with late-September climatology, where average minima hover near 24.5–26 °C but rise under active monsoon trough influence. Trader positioning at 56 % for 27 °C and 45 % for 26 °C reflects model consensus on these elevated minima, with only slim odds for further cooling if clearer skies develop unexpectedly before dawn. Updated IMD and NWP guidance through the evening will be the key near-term data point.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月10日勒克瑙最低溫度?
25°C 3%
24°C 2%
23°C <1%
21°C或以下 <1%
$619 交易量
$619 交易量
21°C或以下
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
3%
26°C
47%
27°C
55%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C或更高
<1%
25°C 3%
24°C 2%
23°C <1%
21°C或以下 <1%
$619 交易量
$619 交易量
21°C或以下
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
3%
26°C
47%
27°C
55%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent monsoon moisture and widespread cloud cover from thundershowers across Uttar Pradesh are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling in Lucknow, keeping overnight lows anchored near 26–27 °C. Official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models show partly cloudy to generally cloudy skies with scattered rain or thunderstorms through the night of September 10, sustaining high humidity near 80–90 % and dew points around 25–26 °C. These conditions align with late-September climatology, where average minima hover near 24.5–26 °C but rise under active monsoon trough influence. Trader positioning at 56 % for 27 °C and 45 % for 26 °C reflects model consensus on these elevated minima, with only slim odds for further cooling if clearer skies develop unexpectedly before dawn. Updated IMD and NWP guidance through the evening will be the key near-term data point.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions