Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and supporting models indicate a daily maximum near 33°C in Lucknow on September 12, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with only isolated thundershowers and light easterly winds. Current observations show temperatures climbing through the low 30s Celsius by midday, consistent with typical early September climatology for the region and the absence of strong monsoon surges or clear-sky heating. This alignment underpins the market's 98% implied probability for 33°C as aggregated trader consensus. A shift in convective activity producing heavier afternoon rainfall or an earlier arrival of cooler air could cap the high below this threshold, while prolonged sunshine might push readings modestly higher.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月12日勒克瑙的最高溫度？
9月12日勒克瑙的最高溫度？
33°C 98%
34°C 3%
35°C <1%
26°C或以下 <1%
$13,922 交易量
$13,922 交易量
2026-09-12
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
98%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C或更高
<1%
33°C 98%
34°C 3%
35°C <1%
26°C或以下 <1%
$13,922 交易量
$13,922 交易量
2026-09-12
26°C或以下
$403 交易量
<1%
27°C
$356 交易量
<1%
28°C
$285 交易量
<1%
29°C
$226 交易量
<1%
30°C
$121 交易量
<1%
31°C
$476 交易量
<1%
32°C
$5,493 交易量
<1%
33°C
$3,492 交易量
98%
34°C
$1,838 交易量
3%
35°C
$1,083 交易量
1%
36°C或更高
$150 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and supporting models indicate a daily maximum near 33°C in Lucknow on September 12, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with only isolated thundershowers and light easterly winds. Current observations show temperatures climbing through the low 30s Celsius by midday, consistent with typical early September climatology for the region and the absence of strong monsoon surges or clear-sky heating. This alignment underpins the market's 98% implied probability for 33°C as aggregated trader consensus. A shift in convective activity producing heavier afternoon rainfall or an earlier arrival of cooler air could cap the high below this threshold, while prolonged sunshine might push readings modestly higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$13,922結束日期
2026-09-12市場開放時間
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and supporting models indicate a daily maximum near 33°C in Lucknow on September 12, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with only isolated thundershowers and light easterly winds. Current observations show temperatures climbing through the low 30s Celsius by midday, consistent with typical early September climatology for the region and the absence of strong monsoon surges or clear-sky heating. This alignment underpins the market's 98% implied probability for 33°C as aggregated trader consensus. A shift in convective activity producing heavier afternoon rainfall or an earlier arrival of cooler air could cap the high below this threshold, while prolonged sunshine might push readings modestly higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$13,922結束日期
2026-09-12市場開放時間
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and supporting models indicate a daily maximum near 33°C in Lucknow on September 12, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with only isolated thundershowers and light easterly winds. Current observations show temperatures climbing through the low 30s Celsius by midday, consistent with typical early September climatology for the region and the absence of strong monsoon surges or clear-sky heating. This alignment underpins the market's 98% implied probability for 33°C as aggregated trader consensus. A shift in convective activity producing heavier afternoon rainfall or an earlier arrival of cooler air could cap the high below this threshold, while prolonged sunshine might push readings modestly higher.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions