Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance indicate a mild southwesterly flow under building high pressure, delivering overcast skies and maximum temperatures centered on 21–23 °C for London on 19 September. Persistent low cloud and moderate winds limit daytime heating while the mild maritime air mass prevents sharper cooling, keeping values above the late-September climatological mean. Small differences among leading outcomes hinge on exact cloud thickness, any brief clearing, and minor shifts in wind direction that could add or subtract 1–2 °C. Market-implied odds clustered tightly around these central values reflect the narrow ensemble spread and limited upside potential from stronger insolation or drier air. Updated short-range runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will refine the precise peak.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月19日倫敦的最高溫度？
9月19日倫敦的最高溫度？
22°C 41%
21°C 32%
23°C 24%
20°C 19%
最新
最新
2026-09-19
16°C或以下
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
8%
20°C
19%
21°C
32%
22°C
41%
23°C
24%
24°C
17%
25°C
16%
26°C或以上
<1%
22°C 41%
21°C 32%
23°C 24%
20°C 19%
最新
最新
2026-09-19
16°C或以下
$209 交易量
<1%
17°C
$117 交易量
1%
18°C
$0 交易量
3%
19°C
$0 交易量
8%
20°C
$0 交易量
19%
21°C
$275 交易量
32%
22°C
$32 交易量
41%
23°C
$27 交易量
24%
24°C
$0 交易量
17%
25°C
$0 交易量
16%
26°C或以上
$57 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance indicate a mild southwesterly flow under building high pressure, delivering overcast skies and maximum temperatures centered on 21–23 °C for London on 19 September. Persistent low cloud and moderate winds limit daytime heating while the mild maritime air mass prevents sharper cooling, keeping values above the late-September climatological mean. Small differences among leading outcomes hinge on exact cloud thickness, any brief clearing, and minor shifts in wind direction that could add or subtract 1–2 °C. Market-implied odds clustered tightly around these central values reflect the narrow ensemble spread and limited upside potential from stronger insolation or drier air. Updated short-range runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will refine the precise peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$717結束日期
2026-09-19市場開放時間
Sep 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance indicate a mild southwesterly flow under building high pressure, delivering overcast skies and maximum temperatures centered on 21–23 °C for London on 19 September. Persistent low cloud and moderate winds limit daytime heating while the mild maritime air mass prevents sharper cooling, keeping values above the late-September climatological mean. Small differences among leading outcomes hinge on exact cloud thickness, any brief clearing, and minor shifts in wind direction that could add or subtract 1–2 °C. Market-implied odds clustered tightly around these central values reflect the narrow ensemble spread and limited upside potential from stronger insolation or drier air. Updated short-range runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will refine the precise peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$717結束日期
2026-09-19市場開放時間
Sep 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ETRecent Met Office and ensemble model guidance indicate a mild southwesterly flow under building high pressure, delivering overcast skies and maximum temperatures centered on 21–23 °C for London on 19 September. Persistent low cloud and moderate winds limit daytime heating while the mild maritime air mass prevents sharper cooling, keeping values above the late-September climatological mean. Small differences among leading outcomes hinge on exact cloud thickness, any brief clearing, and minor shifts in wind direction that could add or subtract 1–2 °C. Market-implied odds clustered tightly around these central values reflect the narrow ensemble spread and limited upside potential from stronger insolation or drier air. Updated short-range runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will refine the precise peak.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions