**Forecast models show Shenzhen's overnight minimum on September 21 hovering near 25–27°C amid scattered thunderstorms and high humidity, creating a tight contest between cooler and warmer market outcomes.** Persistent convective activity and cloud cover from the East Asian monsoon regime limit radiative cooling, while any clearing could allow temperatures to dip closer to the 22°C threshold. Historical September averages for the region feature lows around 24–25°C, but recent model runs diverge on the timing and intensity of rain bands, which directly influence minimum readings through evaporative and cloud effects. Traders weigh these variables against the narrow probability spread, with new guidance from regional meteorological agencies likely to refine the range ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月21日深圳最低溫度？
9月21日深圳最低溫度？
32°C或以上 94%
22°C或以下 91%
27°C 44%
23°C 38%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
22°C或以下
91%
23°C
38%
24°C
25%
25°C
35%
26°C
28%
27°C
44%
28°C
36%
29°C
8%
30°C
15%
31°C
13%
32°C或以上
94%
32°C或以上 94%
22°C或以下 91%
27°C 44%
23°C 38%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
22°C或以下
$0 交易量
91%
23°C
$0 交易量
38%
24°C
$0 交易量
25%
25°C
$0 交易量
35%
26°C
$0 交易量
28%
27°C
$10 交易量
44%
28°C
$0 交易量
36%
29°C
$0 交易量
8%
30°C
$0 交易量
15%
31°C
$0 交易量
13%
32°C或以上
$0 交易量
94%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models show Shenzhen's overnight minimum on September 21 hovering near 25–27°C amid scattered thunderstorms and high humidity, creating a tight contest between cooler and warmer market outcomes.** Persistent convective activity and cloud cover from the East Asian monsoon regime limit radiative cooling, while any clearing could allow temperatures to dip closer to the 22°C threshold. Historical September averages for the region feature lows around 24–25°C, but recent model runs diverge on the timing and intensity of rain bands, which directly influence minimum readings through evaporative and cloud effects. Traders weigh these variables against the narrow probability spread, with new guidance from regional meteorological agencies likely to refine the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$10結束日期
2026-09-21市場開放時間
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models show Shenzhen's overnight minimum on September 21 hovering near 25–27°C amid scattered thunderstorms and high humidity, creating a tight contest between cooler and warmer market outcomes.** Persistent convective activity and cloud cover from the East Asian monsoon regime limit radiative cooling, while any clearing could allow temperatures to dip closer to the 22°C threshold. Historical September averages for the region feature lows around 24–25°C, but recent model runs diverge on the timing and intensity of rain bands, which directly influence minimum readings through evaporative and cloud effects. Traders weigh these variables against the narrow probability spread, with new guidance from regional meteorological agencies likely to refine the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$10結束日期
2026-09-21市場開放時間
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET**Forecast models show Shenzhen's overnight minimum on September 21 hovering near 25–27°C amid scattered thunderstorms and high humidity, creating a tight contest between cooler and warmer market outcomes.** Persistent convective activity and cloud cover from the East Asian monsoon regime limit radiative cooling, while any clearing could allow temperatures to dip closer to the 22°C threshold. Historical September averages for the region feature lows around 24–25°C, but recent model runs diverge on the timing and intensity of rain bands, which directly influence minimum readings through evaporative and cloud effects. Traders weigh these variables against the narrow probability spread, with new guidance from regional meteorological agencies likely to refine the range ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions