**Trader consensus heavily favors a 27°C minimum in Shenzhen on September 20, driven by persistent subtropical warmth and high humidity that limit overnight radiative cooling.** Current observations and model guidance show nighttime temperatures holding between 26–27°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and dew points near 24–25°C, preventing deeper drops. This aligns with typical early-autumn baselines for the region, where September lows average around 24–26°C but have remained elevated amid ongoing warm advection. Lower-probability outcomes like 24°C would require stronger northerly flow or clearer skies for enhanced cooling, scenarios not supported by the latest forecasts. Official station data from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration will determine the final recorded minimum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月20日深圳最低溫度？
9月20日深圳最低溫度？
27°C 98%
22°C或以下 93%
24°C 20%
23°C 1.0%
$675 交易量
$675 交易量
2026-09-20
22°C或以下
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
是
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C 或以上
否
27°C 98%
22°C或以下 93%
24°C 20%
23°C 1.0%
$675 交易量
$675 交易量
2026-09-20
22°C或以下
$0 交易量
否
23°C
$0 交易量
否
24°C
$15 交易量
否
25°C
$63 交易量
否
26°C
$320 交易量
否
27°C
$123 交易量
是
28°C
$37 交易量
否
29°C
$31 交易量
否
30°C
$25 交易量
否
31°C
$31 交易量
否
32°C 或以上
$31 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 27°C minimum in Shenzhen on September 20, driven by persistent subtropical warmth and high humidity that limit overnight radiative cooling.** Current observations and model guidance show nighttime temperatures holding between 26–27°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and dew points near 24–25°C, preventing deeper drops. This aligns with typical early-autumn baselines for the region, where September lows average around 24–26°C but have remained elevated amid ongoing warm advection. Lower-probability outcomes like 24°C would require stronger northerly flow or clearer skies for enhanced cooling, scenarios not supported by the latest forecasts. Official station data from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration will determine the final recorded minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$675結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 27°C minimum in Shenzhen on September 20, driven by persistent subtropical warmth and high humidity that limit overnight radiative cooling.** Current observations and model guidance show nighttime temperatures holding between 26–27°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and dew points near 24–25°C, preventing deeper drops. This aligns with typical early-autumn baselines for the region, where September lows average around 24–26°C but have remained elevated amid ongoing warm advection. Lower-probability outcomes like 24°C would require stronger northerly flow or clearer skies for enhanced cooling, scenarios not supported by the latest forecasts. Official station data from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration will determine the final recorded minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$675結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Trader consensus heavily favors a 27°C minimum in Shenzhen on September 20, driven by persistent subtropical warmth and high humidity that limit overnight radiative cooling.** Current observations and model guidance show nighttime temperatures holding between 26–27°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and dew points near 24–25°C, preventing deeper drops. This aligns with typical early-autumn baselines for the region, where September lows average around 24–26°C but have remained elevated amid ongoing warm advection. Lower-probability outcomes like 24°C would require stronger northerly flow or clearer skies for enhanced cooling, scenarios not supported by the latest forecasts. Official station data from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration will determine the final recorded minimum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions