**Latest high-resolution model guidance from ECMWF and GFS points to overnight minimum temperatures in Milan around 18–19°C on September 22 under light easterly flow and variable cloud cover.** Partly cloudy conditions are expected to limit radiative cooling compared with clearer scenarios, while residual warmth from recent days and downslope effects in the Po Valley support above-climatological values (historical average low near 15°C). Small differences in forecast cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, or localized urban heat-island effects can shift the exact minimum by 2–3°C, sustaining closely balanced market-implied odds between sub-13°C and 22°C+ outcomes. Updated model runs and observational data through the night will refine the precise low before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月22日米蘭的最低溫度?
12°C或以下 94%
22°C或以上 94%
16°C 40%
18°C 39%
12°C或以下
94%
13°C
18%
14°C
9%
15°C
37%
16°C
40%
17°C
24%
18°C
39%
19°C
37%
20°C
37%
21°C
18%
22°C或以上
94%
12°C或以下 94%
22°C或以上 94%
16°C 40%
18°C 39%
12°C或以下
94%
13°C
18%
14°C
9%
15°C
37%
16°C
40%
17°C
24%
18°C
39%
19°C
37%
20°C
37%
21°C
18%
22°C或以上
94%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Latest high-resolution model guidance from ECMWF and GFS points to overnight minimum temperatures in Milan around 18–19°C on September 22 under light easterly flow and variable cloud cover.** Partly cloudy conditions are expected to limit radiative cooling compared with clearer scenarios, while residual warmth from recent days and downslope effects in the Po Valley support above-climatological values (historical average low near 15°C). Small differences in forecast cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, or localized urban heat-island effects can shift the exact minimum by 2–3°C, sustaining closely balanced market-implied odds between sub-13°C and 22°C+ outcomes. Updated model runs and observational data through the night will refine the precise low before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions