Current high-pressure blocking over northern Europe is steering dry northeast continental air into Paris, favoring clear skies and modest radiative cooling overnight into September 22. Official guidance and GFS ensembles point to a minimum near 12–13 °C, consistent with climatological norms, yet the tight 45 % / 41 % split between the 7 °C-or-below and 10 °C bins reflects lingering model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing. A slightly stronger nocturnal inversion or brief high-cloud veil could shave several degrees, while any increase in low-level wind would limit the drop; traders are therefore weighting the lower tail of ensemble distributions ahead of the next ECMWF and GFS runs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月22日巴黎最低溫度？
9月22日巴黎最低溫度？
10°C 40%
11°C 36%
12°C 25%
9°C 23%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
7°C或以下
19%
8°C
2%
9°C
23%
10°C
40%
11°C
36%
12°C
25%
13°C
13%
14°C
2%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C或以上
2%
10°C 40%
11°C 36%
12°C 25%
9°C 23%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
7°C或以下
$0 交易量
19%
8°C
$0 交易量
2%
9°C
$0 交易量
23%
10°C
$655 交易量
40%
11°C
$380 交易量
36%
12°C
$0 交易量
25%
13°C
$0 交易量
13%
14°C
$0 交易量
2%
15°C
$0 交易量
2%
16°C
$0 交易量
2%
17°C或以上
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current high-pressure blocking over northern Europe is steering dry northeast continental air into Paris, favoring clear skies and modest radiative cooling overnight into September 22. Official guidance and GFS ensembles point to a minimum near 12–13 °C, consistent with climatological norms, yet the tight 45 % / 41 % split between the 7 °C-or-below and 10 °C bins reflects lingering model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing. A slightly stronger nocturnal inversion or brief high-cloud veil could shave several degrees, while any increase in low-level wind would limit the drop; traders are therefore weighting the lower tail of ensemble distributions ahead of the next ECMWF and GFS runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$1,035結束日期
2026-09-22市場開放時間
Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current high-pressure blocking over northern Europe is steering dry northeast continental air into Paris, favoring clear skies and modest radiative cooling overnight into September 22. Official guidance and GFS ensembles point to a minimum near 12–13 °C, consistent with climatological norms, yet the tight 45 % / 41 % split between the 7 °C-or-below and 10 °C bins reflects lingering model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing. A slightly stronger nocturnal inversion or brief high-cloud veil could shave several degrees, while any increase in low-level wind would limit the drop; traders are therefore weighting the lower tail of ensemble distributions ahead of the next ECMWF and GFS runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,035結束日期
2026-09-22市場開放時間
Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ETCurrent high-pressure blocking over northern Europe is steering dry northeast continental air into Paris, favoring clear skies and modest radiative cooling overnight into September 22. Official guidance and GFS ensembles point to a minimum near 12–13 °C, consistent with climatological norms, yet the tight 45 % / 41 % split between the 7 °C-or-below and 10 °C bins reflects lingering model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing. A slightly stronger nocturnal inversion or brief high-cloud veil could shave several degrees, while any increase in low-level wind would limit the drop; traders are therefore weighting the lower tail of ensemble distributions ahead of the next ECMWF and GFS runs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions