Current forecasts from multiple models indicate an overnight low in Paris near 11–13°C on September 21 under clear to partly cloudy skies and a stable high-pressure system promoting radiative cooling. Northeast winds remain light, limiting mixing and allowing temperatures to approach or dip slightly below the 1991–2020 climatological average minimum of 11°C. Ensemble spreads create uncertainty around the precise minimum, with some guidance favoring 10–11°C and others holding near 12–13°C, directly supporting the near-even market-implied odds on those two outcomes. No significant weather shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours to alter this setup.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月21日巴黎最低溫度？
9月21日巴黎最低溫度？
11°C 48%
10°C 44%
13°C 40%
9°C或以下 16%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
9°C或以下
16%
10°C
35%
11°C
35%
12°C
13%
13°C
40%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
攝氏19度或以上
<1%
11°C 48%
10°C 44%
13°C 40%
9°C或以下 16%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
9°C或以下
$509 交易量
16%
10°C
$643 交易量
35%
11°C
$947 交易量
35%
12°C
$52 交易量
13%
13°C
$20 交易量
40%
14°C
$85 交易量
<1%
15°C
$36 交易量
<1%
16°C
$36 交易量
<1%
17°C
$86 交易量
<1%
18°C
$41 交易量
<1%
攝氏19度或以上
$36 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate an overnight low in Paris near 11–13°C on September 21 under clear to partly cloudy skies and a stable high-pressure system promoting radiative cooling. Northeast winds remain light, limiting mixing and allowing temperatures to approach or dip slightly below the 1991–2020 climatological average minimum of 11°C. Ensemble spreads create uncertainty around the precise minimum, with some guidance favoring 10–11°C and others holding near 12–13°C, directly supporting the near-even market-implied odds on those two outcomes. No significant weather shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours to alter this setup.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 19, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$2,479結束日期
2026-09-21市場開放時間
Sep 19, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate an overnight low in Paris near 11–13°C on September 21 under clear to partly cloudy skies and a stable high-pressure system promoting radiative cooling. Northeast winds remain light, limiting mixing and allowing temperatures to approach or dip slightly below the 1991–2020 climatological average minimum of 11°C. Ensemble spreads create uncertainty around the precise minimum, with some guidance favoring 10–11°C and others holding near 12–13°C, directly supporting the near-even market-implied odds on those two outcomes. No significant weather shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours to alter this setup.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,479結束日期
2026-09-21市場開放時間
Sep 19, 2026, 12:29 AM ETCurrent forecasts from multiple models indicate an overnight low in Paris near 11–13°C on September 21 under clear to partly cloudy skies and a stable high-pressure system promoting radiative cooling. Northeast winds remain light, limiting mixing and allowing temperatures to approach or dip slightly below the 1991–2020 climatological average minimum of 11°C. Ensemble spreads create uncertainty around the precise minimum, with some guidance favoring 10–11°C and others holding near 12–13°C, directly supporting the near-even market-implied odds on those two outcomes. No significant weather shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours to alter this setup.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions