**Trader consensus has coalesced around a 13°C minimum for Paris on September 20, 2026, at 97% implied probability.** This positioning stems from consistent numerical weather prediction outputs and surface observations showing overnight temperatures bottoming near that threshold under mostly cloudy skies, light westerly to northwesterly winds, and stable high pressure around 1030 hPa. With September climatological averages near 11°C for lows, the current pattern has limited radiative cooling, keeping readings mild through dawn. Official agency guidance from Météo-France and aligned global models supports this range without major discrepancies. The market-implied odds could shift only if clearer skies develop late in the period, allowing additional cooling, or if station-specific measurements at Paris-Montsouris record a slightly lower value than anticipated.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月20日巴黎最低溫度？
9月20日巴黎最低溫度？
13°C 98%
12°C 3%
10°C或以下 2%
11°C <1%
$16,946 交易量
$16,946 交易量
2026-09-20
10°C或以下
2%
11°C
<1%
12°C
3%
13°C
98%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C或以上
<1%
13°C 98%
12°C 3%
10°C或以下 2%
11°C <1%
$16,946 交易量
$16,946 交易量
2026-09-20
10°C或以下
$16 交易量
2%
11°C
$248 交易量
<1%
12°C
$351 交易量
3%
13°C
$2,319 交易量
98%
14°C
$10,452 交易量
<1%
15°C
$3,126 交易量
<1%
16°C
$279 交易量
<1%
17°C
$31 交易量
<1%
18°C
$41 交易量
<1%
19°C
$41 交易量
<1%
20°C或以上
$41 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has coalesced around a 13°C minimum for Paris on September 20, 2026, at 97% implied probability.** This positioning stems from consistent numerical weather prediction outputs and surface observations showing overnight temperatures bottoming near that threshold under mostly cloudy skies, light westerly to northwesterly winds, and stable high pressure around 1030 hPa. With September climatological averages near 11°C for lows, the current pattern has limited radiative cooling, keeping readings mild through dawn. Official agency guidance from Météo-France and aligned global models supports this range without major discrepancies. The market-implied odds could shift only if clearer skies develop late in the period, allowing additional cooling, or if station-specific measurements at Paris-Montsouris record a slightly lower value than anticipated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$16,946結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has coalesced around a 13°C minimum for Paris on September 20, 2026, at 97% implied probability.** This positioning stems from consistent numerical weather prediction outputs and surface observations showing overnight temperatures bottoming near that threshold under mostly cloudy skies, light westerly to northwesterly winds, and stable high pressure around 1030 hPa. With September climatological averages near 11°C for lows, the current pattern has limited radiative cooling, keeping readings mild through dawn. Official agency guidance from Météo-France and aligned global models supports this range without major discrepancies. The market-implied odds could shift only if clearer skies develop late in the period, allowing additional cooling, or if station-specific measurements at Paris-Montsouris record a slightly lower value than anticipated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$16,946結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ET**Trader consensus has coalesced around a 13°C minimum for Paris on September 20, 2026, at 97% implied probability.** This positioning stems from consistent numerical weather prediction outputs and surface observations showing overnight temperatures bottoming near that threshold under mostly cloudy skies, light westerly to northwesterly winds, and stable high pressure around 1030 hPa. With September climatological averages near 11°C for lows, the current pattern has limited radiative cooling, keeping readings mild through dawn. Official agency guidance from Météo-France and aligned global models supports this range without major discrepancies. The market-implied odds could shift only if clearer skies develop late in the period, allowing additional cooling, or if station-specific measurements at Paris-Montsouris record a slightly lower value than anticipated.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions