Recent forecast model consensus from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Turkish State Meteorological Service points to a minimum temperature in Ankara near 14–15°C on September 16, supporting the tight clustering of trader-implied odds around those thresholds. Clear skies overnight and light northerly winds are limiting radiative cooling, while daytime highs near 28°C create a moderate diurnal range consistent with early-autumn climatology for the Anatolian plateau. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with only modest divergence in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed that could shift the low by 1–2°C. Updated local observations and the next model cycle later today will provide the final data for resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月16日安卡拉最低溫度？
9月16日安卡拉最低溫度？
15°C 99.5%
12°C 1.0%
13°C 1.0%
14°C 1.0%
$12,951 交易量
$12,951 交易量
2026-09-16
11°C或以下
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
是
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C或更高
否
15°C 99.5%
12°C 1.0%
13°C 1.0%
14°C 1.0%
$12,951 交易量
$12,951 交易量
2026-09-16
11°C或以下
$16 交易量
否
12°C
$68 交易量
否
13°C
$46 交易量
否
14°C
$42 交易量
否
15°C
$236 交易量
是
16°C
$12,437 交易量
否
17°C
$16 交易量
否
18°C
$16 交易量
否
19°C
$42 交易量
否
20°C
$16 交易量
否
21°C或更高
$16 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Turkish State Meteorological Service points to a minimum temperature in Ankara near 14–15°C on September 16, supporting the tight clustering of trader-implied odds around those thresholds. Clear skies overnight and light northerly winds are limiting radiative cooling, while daytime highs near 28°C create a moderate diurnal range consistent with early-autumn climatology for the Anatolian plateau. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with only modest divergence in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed that could shift the low by 1–2°C. Updated local observations and the next model cycle later today will provide the final data for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$12,951結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Turkish State Meteorological Service points to a minimum temperature in Ankara near 14–15°C on September 16, supporting the tight clustering of trader-implied odds around those thresholds. Clear skies overnight and light northerly winds are limiting radiative cooling, while daytime highs near 28°C create a moderate diurnal range consistent with early-autumn climatology for the Anatolian plateau. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with only modest divergence in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed that could shift the low by 1–2°C. Updated local observations and the next model cycle later today will provide the final data for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$12,951結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Recent forecast model consensus from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Turkish State Meteorological Service points to a minimum temperature in Ankara near 14–15°C on September 16, supporting the tight clustering of trader-implied odds around those thresholds. Clear skies overnight and light northerly winds are limiting radiative cooling, while daytime highs near 28°C create a moderate diurnal range consistent with early-autumn climatology for the Anatolian plateau. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with only modest divergence in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed that could shift the low by 1–2°C. Updated local observations and the next model cycle later today will provide the final data for resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions